The Miami Marlins and Texas Rangers will face off in an interleague matchup on Sunday afternoon. Sunday’s showdown carries high stakes late in September. The Marlins (75–80) roll into Globe Life Field riding a five‐game win streak and have secured three straight series wins. Texas (79–76) is sinking, dropping six in a row and fading in the AL Wild Card race. The Rangers will try to get a much-needed win here. Continue reading to get my Marlins vs Rangers prediction for Sunday.
Our Marlins vs Rangers Pick
- Pick: Rangers Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers
- Date & Time: Sunday, September 21, 2025, 2:35 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly (12‑8, 3.46 ERA) vs Eury Pérez (7‑5, 4.40 ERA)
- Stadium: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Merrill Kelly has had a strong season for the Rangers. His ERA is sitting in the mid‑3s and he has generally provided reliable outings. He handles pressure well, especially at home, which he will need in a high-pressure spot today. Eury Pérez, meanwhile, has been decent but less consistent for the Marlins. His 4.40 ERA suggests vulnerability, especially when facing a team with a bit of offensive life like the Rangers. If Kelly can limit the Marlins’ big bats early, Texas has a real chance to control the game.
Recent Team Streaks
- Miami has won five in a row and nine of their last 10 games.
- Texas has lost six straight, with their playoff hopes slipping away fast.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Josh Jung | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Otto Lopez | Hits | Over 1.5 |
| Agustin Ramirez | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Merrill Kelly | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Marlins hold a 2-0 lead in their season series against the Rangers.
- This is the final time these teams will play in the 2025 regular season.
- Miami is 39-38 on the road for the season.
- Texas is 47-30 at home in 2025.
Marlins vs Rangers Model Projection
Score Projection: Rangers 5 – Marlins 4
Win Probability: Rangers 56%, Marlins 44%
Final Thoughts
Texas enters this game as the favorite for good reason. But Miami has been surging, winning series and games by tight margins, and could make this closer than many expect. I think that the Rangers will win this game, thanks in large part to their starting pitching advantage. But I can understand if bettors are worried about backing the Rangers right now given how poorly Texas has been playing.
