The Miami Marlins will take on the Texas Rangers on Saturday night at Globe Life Field. The Marlins are on a heater, having won four straight and eight of their last nine games. The Rangers are reeling, having dropped five in a row. Both teams are still mathematically alive in their respective playoff races but are running out of time to make their moves. Continue reading to get my Marlins vs Rangers prediction for Saturday night.
Our Marlins vs Rangers Pick
- Pick: Texas Rangers −1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Adam Mazur (MIA) vs Jack Leiter (TEX)
- Stadium: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: RSN and FDSFL
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Jack Leiter enters with a 9-9 record and a 3.82 ERA on the season. He’s been considerably stronger at home, where his numbers are more favorable, especially in suppressing home runs. Miami’s Adam Mazur is 0-4 with a 4.85 ERA. His recent starts haven’t inspired confidence. He struggles with consistency, allows too many walks, and doesn’t induce enough strikeouts to avoid constant contact. The edge here tilts toward Leiter, especially given the home conditions and Rangers’ desperation to stop their current skid.
Recent team streaks
- The Marlins have won four straight and eight of their last nine games. They won 6-4 in 12 innings over Texas in Friday’s series opener.
- The Rangers have lost five in a row and are now five games back of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. They can’t afford to keep losing games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Agustín Ramírez | Total Bases | Under 1.5 |
| Otto López | Total Bases | Under 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Marlins have a 1-0 lead in their season series against the Rangers.
- The first game of this series went over the total with 10 runs scored. But bettors should keep in mind that there were only two total runs scored before extra innings.
Marlins vs Rangers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Marlins 3 – Rangers 5
- Win Probability: Marlins 41%, Rangers 59%
Final Thoughts
Texas likely ends its losing streak here. Leiter should help Texas to steady the ship in this game. Miami’s hot streak and capable bats make them dangerous, but Mazur’s recent pitching and Texas’ heightened sense of urgency give the edge to the home side. Expect a moderately close game, but for the Rangers to pull away in the final few innings so that they cover the runline.
