Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction – 7/28/2025
The Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off on Monday night at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. Both teams are more or less out of contention in the race for their respective divisions. But they are still alive in their respective Wild Card races. Before the action begins in St. Louis, you can continue reading to get my Marlins vs Cardinals prediction.
Our Marlins vs Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date & Time: Monday, July 28, 2025, 7:45 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Edward Cabrera (MIA) vs Andre Pallante (STL)
- Stadium: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: FDSMW and FDSFL
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Edward Cabrera enters the game with a 4-4 record and a 3.48 ERA. He has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his past four starts in July. Cabrera’s ability to limit damage and keep hitters off balance will be crucial for the Marlins’ success in this game.
Andre Pallante has struggled for the Cardinals this season with a 5-7 record and a 4.91 ERA. His recent form has been concerning. Pallante has an ERA over 9.00 in his last three starts. The Marlins will look to exploit Pallante’s vulnerabilities early in the game.
Key Players
- Brendan Donovan (STL): Donovan has been a consistent performer for the Cardinals. His .288 batting average leads the team and makes him a vital part of their lineup.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA): Stowers leads the Marlins in batting average, home runs, and RBI. Stowers will likely need to contribute something offensively if the Marlins are going to win this game.
Recent Team Streaks
The Marlins have won four of their last five games. Their offense has been clicking they will look to keep it that way tonight. The Cardinals have lost three of their last five games and dropped their last two games against the San Diego Padres.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Brendan Donovan | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first matchup between these teams in the 2025 season.
- The Marlins have a winning road record at 26-25 for the season.
- St. Louis is 31-22 at home entering this three-game set.
Marlins vs Cardinals Model Projection
- Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Cardinals 4
- Win Probability: Marlins 55%, Cardinals 45%
Final Thoughts
The Marlins struggled against Brandon Woodruff and the Milwaukee Brewers yesterday. But Andre Pallante is no Brandon Woodruff. The recent struggles of Pallante and the strong play of the Marlins lately should give Miami the upper hand in this contest. I’ll take Miami as a slight underdog to win their fifth game in their last six.
