Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick – 7/30/2025
The St. Louis Cardinals will host the Miami Marlins at Busch Stadium on Wednesday night. This game will conclude a three-game set between the two teams. Both teams have taken a game from the other in this series so far. The Cardinals are favored in the rubber match. Here, I have broken down this game and bring you my Marlins vs Cardinals prediction.
Our Marlins vs Cardinals Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 7:45 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Cal Quantrill vs. Miles Mikolas |
| Stadium | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
- Team Momentum: The Cardinals have dropped three of their last four games going into this one. The Marlins have won three of their last five and will look for another victory here.
- Weather Conditions: An Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for St. Louis until 7 PM CDT on July 30. That could have a huge impact on this game as the weather will make things tougher on everyone.
- Pitching Matchup: Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Marlins in this game. Quantrill is 3-8 with a 5.05 ERA this year and has brought that number down slightly in the recent past. Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals. Mikolas is 6-7 with a 4.94 ERA in 2025. Whichever pitcher can deliver more consistently in this game will give their team a huge advantage tonight.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Miles Mikolas | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Kyle Stowers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The season series between these teams is tied 1-1 after the last two games.
- The Cardinals are 32-23 at home this season. The Marlins are 27-26 on the road.
- The under has hit in each of the first two games these teams have played against each other this season.
Marlins vs Cardinals Model Projection
Projected Score: Cardinals 6 – Marlins 4
Win Probability: Cardinals 65%, Marlins 35%
Final Thoughts
Neither starting pitcher in this game is particularly trustworthy. Instead of taking a side in this game, I am going to look at the total. Specifically, I like the over at 8.5 runs. We should see Quantrill or Mikolas struggle on the hill in the hot weather. Or we could see both struggle. Either way, I’m taking the over in St. Louis tonight.
