Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Preview – 4/10/2024

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Overview

• Date: April 10, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ryan Weathers - Marlins
  • Marcus Stroman - Yankees
• Run Line: Marlins 1.5 -110, Yankees -1.5 -110
• Money Line: Marlins 185, Yankees -220
• Total (Over/Under):8.5 -110

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Miami Marlins - 34%
• New York Yankees - 66%

Projected Win %:

• Miami Marlins - 27.59%
• New York Yankees - 72.41%

Miami Marlins vs New York Yankees Game Preview & Prediction

In an Interleague matchup scheduled for April 10, 2024, the New York Yankees will host the Miami Marlins at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, with an impressive record of 10-2 this season, are having a great season so far. On the other hand, the Marlins have struggled with a record of 1-11, making it a terrible season for them.

The Yankees are projected to start right-handed pitcher Marcus Stroman, who has been performing well this year. In his two starts, Stroman has a win/loss record of 1-0 and an excellent ERA of 0.00. However, his 3.70 xFIP suggests that he may have been lucky so far and could regress in future performances.

The Marlins, projected to start left-handed pitcher Ryan Weathers, have been facing challenges this season. Weathers has a win/loss record of 0-1 and an ERA of 4.00. His 4.67 xFIP indicates that he may have been fortunate in his performances and could struggle going forward.

In terms of offensive rankings, the Yankees rank as the 10th best team in MLB, while the Marlins rank as the 29th best. However, the Marlins have excelled in team batting average, ranking 3rd in MLB. The Yankees, on the other hand, have struggled in team batting average, ranking 29th. Both teams have weaknesses in different areas, with the Yankees ranking 8th in team home runs and the Marlins ranking 28th.

According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, the Yankees have the 4th best bullpen in MLB, while the Marlins have the 27th best. This could give the Yankees an advantage in the late innings of the game.

The Yankees, being the home team, have the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd. With a strong record and a projected win probability of 66%, they are the clear favorites in this game. The Marlins, as the away team, have a projected win probability of 34% and are considered underdogs.

Based on the current odds, the Yankees have a high implied team total of 5.02 runs, while the Marlins have a low implied team total of 3.48 runs.

Quick Takes Miami Marlins:

With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Ryan Weathers will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Bethancourt, Jake Burger, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Judge as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

The New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 4th-best in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Final Score Prediction: Miami Marlins 3.43 vs New York Yankees 5.42

Visit the MLB picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.