Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction – 7/26/2025
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Miami Marlins on Saturday night at American Family Field. The Marlins dominated the first game of this series on the road. They will look for a repeat performance here with a more favorable pitching matchup than they had in Friday’s game. For a full breakdown of this game, including my Marlins vs Brewers prediction, continue reading below.
Our Marlins vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Marlins to Win
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Saturday, July 26, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Janson Junk (MIA) vs. Jose Quintana (MIL)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: FDSWI (Milwaukee) and FDSFL (Florida)
Key Storylines
- Pitching Form: Janson Junk has been effective with a 3.09 ERA and 1.03 WHIP this season. He is 4-2 on the year and has been a nice addition to the Marlins rotation to this point in the season. Jose Quintana holds a 7-3 record and a 3.49 ERA. Both pitchers have shown consistency and the pitcher who performs better to start this game will give their team a huge advantage.
- Bullpen Usage: Both teams have mediocre bullpens in terms of their ERAs this year. But the Marlins were much more solid at the back end of their bullpen yesterday. They helped hold the Brew Crew to just one run on Friday night.
- Recent Team Streaks: The Marlins come into this game on a three-game winning streak. Miami’s pitching staff has come through for them during that streak. Milwaukee has dropped two of its last three games entering this contest.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 HR |
| Jackson Chourio | Over 0.5 SB |
| Kyle Stowers | Over 0.5 HR |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these two teams is tied 2-2.
- Three of the four games between these teams have gone under their respective totals.
- The Marlins have allowed two runs per game over their last three games.
Marlins vs Brewers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Marlins 4 – Brewers 3
- Win Probability: Brewers 50%, Marlins 50%
Final Thoughts
I have been high on Janson Junk so far this season. While the Marlins have a ton of flaws, I think that Junk can keep them in this game and make it into a coin flip once the bullpens get involved. There is some value on the underdog as far as I’m concerned. I’ll take the Marlins to win this game at plus money on Saturday night.
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