Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 7/25/2025
The Miami Marlins visit the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at American Family Field. This is the first game of a three-game weekend series in Milwaukee. The Brewers are playing some of the best baseball in the league right now and will look to keep that going against a struggling Miami team. To get my Marlins vs Brewers prediction, continue reading right here.
Our Marlins vs Brewers Pick
- Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers
- Date & Time: Friday, July 25, 2025, 4:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cal Quantrill (MIA) vs Freddy Peralta (MIL)
- Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: MLB Network, FDSWI, FDSFL
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Freddy Peralta has been dominant this year for Milwaukee. He has limited opponents to just three runs over his last three outings and has pushed his win total to 12. Peralta has a 1.08 WHIP and has been very impressive coming into this start against the Marlins. Cal Quantrill has produced an ERA north of 5 and is just 3-8 on the season. He will look to turn things around in this contest for the Fish.
Bullpen Usage
These teams are pretty evenly matched in the bullpen department. The Brewers have a slightly lower bullpen ERA. But the difference is negligible coming into this game and both pens are rested after a day off on Thursday.
Recent Team Streaks
- Brewers: Won their last game 10‑2 over Seattle. The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 coming into this game.
- Marlins: The Marlins have won two straight games over the Padres before this series. Miami has won six of its last 10 games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Jackson Chourio | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Brewers lead the season series against the Marlins 2-1.
- Two of the three games between these teams this season have gone under their totals.
- Both teams have winning records in day games this year. The Brewers are 28-18 in day games and Miami is 20-15 in them.
Marlins vs Brewers Model Projection
Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Marlins 3
Win Probability: Brewers 59%, Marlins 41%
Final Thoughts
There is not a lot of value in backing the Brewers on the moneyline today given their steep price. Instead, I recommend taking the Brewers to cover the runline in this contest. Look for Milwaukee to get to Quantrill early and to do enough to hold onto this game by a couple of runs late in what should be a solid series opener for the Brew Crew.
