Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Angels Pick – 5/24/2025

The Los Angeles Angels will host the Miami Marlins on May 24, 2025, at Angel Stadium in what is the second game of their interleague series. The Angels have shown resilience this season with a record of 25-25, while the Marlins have struggled with a 19-30 record.

In their last matchup, the Angels took a decisive victory, which adds to the positive momentum as they aim to build on their home-field advantage. Jose Soriano, ranked 41st among MLB starting pitchers, projects to take the mound for the Angels. With a strong 3.57 ERA this season, he has provided stability despite a 3-4 record. His peripherals suggest he might have had a bit of luck this year, especially with a high xERA of 4.16, indicating he could regress. Soriano averages 6.0 innings per start and is expected to allow only 2.0 earned runs today, which could bode well against a struggling Marlins lineup.

Conversely, Cal Quantrill will start for Miami. With a dismal 6.37 ERA and ranked among the worst pitchers in the league, he faces a daunting task, especially against a high-strikeout Angels offense that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts. Quantrill's project of just 4.9 innings pitched and 3.0 earned runs is problematic for the Marlins, who have also suffered due to a poor bullpen ranked 27th in MLB.

The Angels' offense, while averaging a middle-of-the-pack 19th in the MLB, ranks an impressive 3rd in home runs. With today's game total set at 8.5 runs, the projections suggest a high-scoring affair could be on the horizon, further enhanced by the Angels' substantial -170 moneyline, reflecting their strong implied team total of 4.77 runs. As the Angels seek to solidify their standing, they will look to make good use of their home advantage against the Marlins, who are still trying to find their footing this season.

Quick Takes Miami Marlins:

Cal Quantrill's higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (65.9% vs. 59.8% last year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

Kyle Stowers has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 101.7-mph in the past week.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Matt Mervis, Connor Norby).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Jose Soriano's 96.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.5-mph fall off from last year's 97.7-mph mark.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.

Luis Rengifo is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Miami (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels' bullpen profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Miami Marlins 3.84, Los Angeles Angels 5.11

• Date: May 24, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Cal Quantrill - Marlins
  • Jose Soriano - Angels

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.