Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction – 8/14/2025
The Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins will close out a three-game series on Thursday evening. Both teams have grabbed a game in this series so far and will look to secure a series win in this contest. Can Miami replicate its offensive outburst from Wednesday night? To find out, keep reading to get my analysis for this game and my Marlins vs Guardians prediction.
Our Marlins vs Guardians Pick
- Pick: Marlins ML
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
- MLB Thursday Bonus Bets: Hit the Claim Bonus button to claim our DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code. You can bet $5 and win $200 in bonus bets INSTANTLY, plus get over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket!
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Over $200 Off NFL Sunday Ticket
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ 
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + Over $200 Off NFL Sunday Ticket
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Promo Code: Click To Claim
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 14, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Miami – Edward Cabrera (6–5, 3.08 ERA)
- Cleveland – Tanner Bibee (8–9, 4.60 ERA)
- Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CLEG, FDSFL
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Edward Cabrera continues to stand out for Miami. He has been especially effective on the road with a 3.40 ERA and 9.5 K/9 away from home. Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee has struggled with command this season. His strikeout rate has dipped to a career-low 8.2 K/9 and his ERA has risen to 4.60. Miami has the advantage on paper in the pitching matchup.
Miami’s Offensive Explosion
The Miami Marlins scored 13 runs in their win over the Marlins on Wednesday. Miami’s Jakob Marsee went 4-5 at the plate in that game and had seven RBI on the game. Another performance like that from the middle of Miami’s order would be a huge boost for this Marlins team.
Recent team streaks
- The Marlins snapped a four-game losing streak with their blowout win on Wednesday.
- Cleveland has lost two of their last three games and will look to bounce back on the mound in this contest.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
| Edward Cabrera | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 |
| Jakob Marsee | Total bases | Under 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the final game scheduled between Cleveland and Miami during this regular season.
- The Marlins have outscored the Guardians 16-8 in the two meetings between these teams in 2025.
- The Marlins have the best runline record in MLB this season at 71-49 (59.2%).
Marlins vs Guardians Model Projection
- Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Guardians3
- Win Probability: Miami 57%, Cleveland 43%
Final Thoughts
Miami should have the starting pitching advantage in this game with Cabrera on the mound. I don’t expect the Marlins to score into double-digits again in this contest. But I do think that the Marlins have enough firepower to get to Bibee and get a victory on the road in this contest. I’ll take the Marlins at a plus price in this series finale from Northeast Ohio.
