Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction – 8/12/2025
The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians will begin a three-game interleague series on Tuesday night. Both of these teams are near the .500 mark for the season and could use a win to set the tone in this series from Progressive Field. Before the fun begins in Northeast Ohio, you can continue reading to get my analysis for this game and my Marlins vs Guardians prediction.
Our Marlins vs Guardians Pick
- Pick: Marlins Moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 12, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Janson Junk vs Logan Allen
- Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CLEG and FDSFL
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Janson Junk and Logan Allen will take the mound in this game. Both have been solid this season for their respective teams and have ERAs just under 4.00 for the season. Junk has been better at preventing home runs from opposing hitters and that could make the difference in today’s starting pitching matchup from Cleveland.
Key Players
- Cleveland: Kyle Manzardo has been hot recently for the Guardians and will look to continue to contribute offensively.
- Miami: Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with 25 home runs and 71 RBI. Jumping on Allen early would be huge for him and his team tonight.
Recent team streaks
- Cleveland: The Guardians have won four of their last five games.
- Miami: Miami lost four out of five to the Atlanta Braves in their most recent series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Manzardo | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Kyle Stowers | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game being played between the Guardians and Marlins this season.
- The Guardians are 17-22 against interleague opponents this year.
- Miami is 18-15 against opponents from the American League.
Marlins vs Guardians Model Projection
Score Projection: Marlins 5 – Guardians 3
Win Probability: Guardians 49%, Marlins 51%
Final Thoughts
This should be a pretty evenly matched game. I like the idea of taking the Marlins at a plus price in a game that I make much closer to a pick ’em than the sportsbooks have. Janson Junk provides more upside than Logan Allen in my opinion. I’ll go with the Marlins to break out of their recent funk and to get a win that they desperately need on the road.
