Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Pick – 7/8/2025

This Tuesday night, the Miami Marlins head into Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The Marlins won the first game of this series on the road. Will the Reds even things up with a win at home, or will the Marlins grab a second straight W? I attempt to answer that question by making my Marlins vs Reds prediction for Tuesday.

Our Marlins vs Reds Pick

• Pick: Reds Moneyline (−124)
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 8, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Nick Martínez (CIN) vs Eury Pérez (MIA)
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
• Broadcast: FDSOH, FDSFL

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Nick Martinez is on the mound for the Reds to start this game. He is 6-8 with a 4.20 ERA. Martinez has won two straight starts but he did give up four earned runs against the Red Sox in his last outing.
• Eury Pérez is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA for the Marlins this year. He had a 6.19 ERA through his first four starts of the season in June. But he threw six shutout innings against the Twins in his last starts and will look for a second straight quality start here.

Bullpen usage

Miami won the bullpen battle in Monday’s series opener. They didn’t give up any runs out of the bullpen in three innings. Cincinnati’s pen gave up three runs, two of which were earned, helping Miami to break the game open.

Recent team streaks

• Miami has won two of its last three games entering Tuesday’s action.
• Cincinnati has lost three games in a row.

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Marlins lead the season series between these teams by a 3-1 margin.
• Miami is 21-21 on the road this year, and Cincinnati is 24-20 at home.
• The Marlins’ 53-36 record on the runline is the best in baseball in 2025.

Marlins vs Reds Model Projection

Score Projection: Reds 6 – Marlins 4

Win Probability: Reds 57%, Marlins 43%

Final Thoughts

The Reds are struggling coming into this game. But I do think they will get a brief break from their recent woes with a win here. Nick Martinez had a great start the last time he was at home against the Padres. While he may not be as effective as he was in that game, he will put together another strong game to lead his team to a much-needed win at home.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.