Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 8/7/2025
If you had asked any baseball fan whether the Atlanta Braves or Miami Marlins would have a better record in August this season, nobody would have predicted the Marlins having a better record. But that is what has happened this year thanks to the struggles of Atlanta. The Marlins and Braves will open up a rare five-game series on Thursday night in Atlanta. Before the action begins, continue reading to get my Marlins vs Braves prediction.
Our Marlins vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 7, 2025, 7:15 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Miami – Eury Pérez (4‑3, 2.70 ERA)
- Atlanta – Carlos Carrasco (2‑2, 5.68 ERA)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Eury Pérez has dazzled this season for the Marlins. Perez has a 4-3 record and a 2.70 ERA. He threw six shutout innings in his last start against the Yankees and Perez will look for another excellent performance in this game. Carlos Carrasco has struggled to find consistency heading into this start for the Braves. Carrasco made his first appearance since May when he gave up three runs over six innings against the Cincinnati Reds on July 31.
Key Players
- Miami: Kyle Stowers has 25 HRs and 71 RBI to lead the Marlins in those categories. Augustin Ramirez reached base three times and hit a sac fly on Wednesday and will be vital for the Marlins in this game as well.
- Atlanta: The injury to star Ronald Acuña Jr. remains a notable blow to the Braves’ lineup. That injury makes it all the more important that Matt Olson is able to use his power to help the Braves generate instant offense.
Recent Team Streaks
- Marlins: The Marlins snapped a two-game losing streak by winning the final game of their series against the Astros on Wednesday. Miami has won three of its last five games.
- Braves: The Braves were swept across three games in their last series by the Milwaukee Brewers.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Carlos Carrasco | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Marlins hold a 3-2 advantage in the season series against the Braves this year.
- Miami is 2-1 at home against the Braves in 2025.
- Miami is 28-26 on the road this season.
- Atlanta is 26-29 in their home games.
- Miami is 68-45 on the runline this year.
- Atlanta is 49-64 in the runline market during their games.
Marlins vs Braves Model Projection
- Score Projection: Miami 6 – Atlanta 5
- Win Probability: Miami 52%, Atlanta 48%
Final Thoughts
The Marlins have the starting pitching edge with Eury Perez pitching against someone in Carlos Carrasco who still needs to prove he can hang in MLB. Even if the Braves do get a serviceable start out of Carrasco, they could very well fail to take advantage of it. Atlanta has been the biggest disappointment in MLB this year and I expect that to continue with a Marlins win on Thursday night.
