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Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies Pick & Prediction – 8/29/2024
- Date: August 29, 2024
- Venue: Coors Field
- Starting Pitchers:
- Valente Bellozo - Marlins
- Bradley Blalock - Rockies
Betting Odds
| Moneyline: | Marlins 105, Rockies -125 |
| Runline: | Marlins 1.5 -180, Rockies -1.5 155 |
| Over/Under Total: | 11.5 100 |
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Win Probabilities
| Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
| Miami Marlins - 47% | Miami Marlins - 45.51% |
| Colorado Rockies - 53% | Colorado Rockies - 54.49% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
On August 29, 2024, the Colorado Rockies will host the Miami Marlins at Coors Field in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two struggling squads. Both teams have endured disappointing seasons, with the Rockies sitting at 50-84 and the Marlins at 48-85. The Rockies recently faced the Marlins in the third game of the series, with the Rockies winning that game by a score of 8-2.
The Rockies are projected to send right-hander Bradley Blalock to the mound, who has a solid ERA of 3.06 this season, despite his low ranking as the 274th best starting pitcher in MLB. Blalock's high flyball rate (36 FB%) could serve him well against a Marlins lineup that has struggled to hit for power, ranking 2nd least in the league with only 85 home runs this season. Additionally, Blalock's high walk rate (10.4 BB%) may not be exploited by the Marlins, who have the lowest walk rate in MLB, making this a favorable matchup for him.
Meanwhile, Miami will counter with Valente Bellozo, who has also been inconsistent, sporting an ERA of 3.35 but ranking among the worst pitchers in MLB. Bellozo’s low strikeout rate (17.6 K%) could be problematic against a Rockies offense that, while only ranked 18th overall, is capable of capitalizing on his control issues.
The leading MLB projection system suggests the Rockies have a strong chance to score significantly today, projecting them to average 5.87 runs. Given the Rockies' recent offensive surge, particularly from Ezequiel Tovar, who has recorded 8 hits and 6 RBIs over the last week, they might just have the upper hand in this matchup. With odds leaning slightly in their favor, the Rockies could be poised to take this game against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Final Score: Miami Marlins 5.77 vs Colorado Rockies 6.01
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