Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks – 4/24/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Overview

• Date: April 24, 2024
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Landon Knack - Dodgers
  • Jake Irvin - Nationals
• Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 -110, Nationals 1.5 -110
• Money Line: Dodgers -180, Nationals 155
• Total (Over/Under): 9.5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 62%
• Washington Nationals - 38%

Projected Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 62.84%
• Washington Nationals - 37.16%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Game Preview & Prediction

The Washington Nationals will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 24, 2024, at Nationals Park in a National League matchup. The Nationals, with a season record of 10-12, have been having a below-average season, while the Dodgers have been performing well with a record of 14-11.

On the mound, the Nationals are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jake Irvin, who has had a solid season so far. Irvin has started four games, with a win-loss record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.13. However, his peripheral indicators, such as SIERA and xERA, suggest that he has been lucky and may not perform as well going forward.

Opposing Irvin will be right-handed pitcher Landon Knack for the Dodgers. Knack has started one game this season, with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 3.60. His xERA indicates that he has been unlucky and may perform better in future outings.

The Nationals offense ranks 18th in MLB this season, with an average team batting average. However, they have struggled in the power department, ranking 29th in team home runs. On the other hand, the Dodgers have one of the best offenses in MLB, ranking 4th overall and 2nd in team home runs.

Considering the pitching matchup and offensive performances, the Dodgers have the advantage heading into the game. However, baseball is a game of unpredictability, and anything can happen on any given day.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

In his last outing, Jake Irvin was rolling and conceded 0 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 141 games (+19.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction: Dodgers 6.02 - Nationals 4.33

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.