Los Angeles Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Pick – 4/19/2025

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Betting Preview

As the Texas Rangers host the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 19, 2025, fans can anticipate a matchup between two of the league's top teams. Both squads are enjoying solid seasons—the Rangers stand at 12-8, while the Dodgers boast a 15-6 record. This game marks the second of a series, and the Dodgers are fresh off a thrilling victory against the Rangers, which adds extra intrigue to this clash.

The Rangers are projected to send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound. Eovaldi has been effective this season, with a commendable 2.55 ERA across four starts, although his 4.29 xERA suggests he might be due for some regression. He thrives as a high-groundball pitcher (54% GB%) and is set to face a powerful Dodgers offense that has hit 35 home runs this season, the most in MLB. His control has been a strong suit, as evidenced by his low 2.1 BB%, which could work in his favor against a patient Dodgers lineup.

Conversely, Roki Sasaki will take the ball for the Dodgers. With a 3.29 ERA and a modest 0-1 record in four starts, Sasaki is performing well but has struggled with walks (20.3 BB%). This could prove problematic against a Rangers offense that is the least patient in MLB, potentially negating Sasaki's control issues.

Both teams have seen their respective offenses rank differently than anticipated in the early season. The Rangers' offense, ranked 23rd overall, faces a daunting task against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 5th. With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, bettors may want to consider the Rangers' potential to surprise, especially given their ability to generate runs through stolen bases, ranking 9th in that category. The projections suggest that both teams might average around 4.00 runs, indicating a tight contest ahead as these two clubs vie for supremacy on the field.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roki Sasaki to throw 84 pitches in today's game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Teoscar Hernandez's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 83-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78.4-mph over the last 7 days.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Nathan Eovaldi has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 8% more often this season (70.7%) than he did last year (62.7%).

• A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.

Marcus Semien has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .295 rate is a good deal lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

• xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.

Josh Jung hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.01, Texas Rangers 4.51

• Date: April 19, 2025
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Roki Sasaki - Dodgers
  • Nathan Eovaldi - Rangers

Get daily MLB picks here.