Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction – 8/23/2025
The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres are set to face off in a National League West showdown on Saturday night. Both teams enter the game with identical 73-56 records after the Padres won the opening game of this huge three-game set. Before the co-leaders of the NL West square off on Saturday night, continue reading to get my Dodgers vs Padres prediction for tonight.
Our Dodgers vs Padres Pick
- Pick: Padres moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025, 8:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Tyler Glasnow (LAD) vs Nestor Cortes (SD)
- Stadium: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: FS1
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Tyler Glasnow has been a reliable pitcher for the Dodgers when healthy. He enters this start with a 1-1 record, a 3.12 ERA, and 72 strikeouts over 57.2 innings. His ability to generate strikeouts and limit home runs will be vital against the Padres’ potent lineup.
Nestor Cortes has struggled in limited action this season with a 1-2 record and a 5.87 ERA. His inconsistency and 1.65 WHIP make him exactly who the Dodgers’ offense would like to see in a game as important as this one.
Key Players
- The Padres’ bullpen has the best bullpen ERA in the league and they could be called upon early on to relieve Nestor Cortes.
- Shohei Ohtani went 0-3 for the Dodgers in Friday’s loss to the Padres and he needs to produce more in this matchup.
Recent team streaks
The Dodgers have been inconsistent recently. They split a four-game series with the Colorado Rockies before losing Friday’s series opener against the Padres. The Padres are on a four-game home winning streak and swept the San Francisco Giants before winning their first game against the Dodgers on Friday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Shohei Ohtani | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Dodgers lead the season series 8-3 against the Padres this season.
- The Dodgers are 32-32 on the road after losing on the road on Friday.
- San Diego has won two-thirds of their home games this year. They are 42-21 at home.
Dodgers vs Padres Model Projection
- Score Projection: Padres 5 – Dodgers 3
- Win Probability: Padres 52%, Dodgers 48%
Final Thoughts
The Padres have some starting pitching concerns in this game with Nestor Cortes on the mound. But they also have the better bullpen and are playing better baseball lately. I think that the Padres will do what it takes to win this game as a home underdog to take the lead in the NL West going into the final game of this three-game set on Sunday.
