Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick – 9/4/2025
The Los Angeles Dodgers will make their final stop in Pittsburgh to close out a three‑game set against the Pirates on Thursday. Paul Skenes is on the mound for the Pirates in this contest as they look to pull off a surprising sweep. LA is a slight favorite going into this National League matchup with Blake Snell on the mound. Before this game begins from PNC Park, continue reading to get my Dodgers vs Pirates prediction.
Our Dodgers vs Pirates Pick
- Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date & Time: Thursday, September 4, 2025, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Blake Snell (LAD) vs Paul Skenes (PIT)
- Stadium: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet LA and SportsNet Pittsburgh
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
LA’s Blake Snell offers elite stat lines with a 2.41 ERA and a solid strikeout rate. But he hasn’t gone deep in games for most of this season and carries a 1.37 WHIP. He will need to keep runners off the bases in this contest with a small margin for error for both pitchers. Paul Skenes has been a workhorse ace with a microscopic 2.05 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over 167 innings. He has dominated both left and right-handed hitters throughout the season.
Key Players
- Dodgers: Shohei Ohtani is not pitching today but he is still going to be an impact player at the plate. He is hitting .280 with 46 home runs and 87 RBI.
- Pirates: The Pirates have scored almost 200 fewer runs than the Dodgers over the course of this season. But bats like Oneil Cruz could help them pull another upset of the Dodgers tonight.
Recent Team Streaks
- Dodgers: The Dodgers have won two straight games and four of their last five.
- Pirates: Pittsburgh has won two straight games against LA and four of the last five games overall.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Paul Skenes | Over 7.5 Strikeouts |
| Andrew McCutchen | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Pittsburgh leads the season series against the Dodgers by a 3-2 margin.
- This is the final game scheduled between the Dodgers and Pirates this season.
- Every game between these teams this season has been decided by two runs or more.
- The Dodgers are 33-35 on the road for the season.
- The Pirates are 41-30 at home for the year.
Dodgers vs Pirates Model Projection
Score Projection: Pittsburgh 3 – Los Angeles 2
Win Probability: Dodgers 48%, Pirates 52%
Final Thoughts
This should be a low-scoring game due to how good both starting pitchers are. Both Snell and Skenes should mow down opposing hitters early on. But I think that Skenes gives the Pirates a slight advantage in this matchup. I’ll go with the Pirates to complete a three-game sweep of the Dodgers and help the Padres out in the race for the NL West title.
