Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds – 6/7/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Details

• Date: June 7, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Dodgers
  • Cody Poteet - Yankees

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated Interleague matchup, the New York Yankees are set to host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium on June 7, 2024. The Yankees, with an impressive record of 45-19 this season, are having a great year, while the Dodgers are also performing well with a record of 39-25.

Both teams will be sending right-handed pitchers to the mound. The Yankees are projected to start Cody Poteet, who has been solid this season with a 2-0 record and an impressive 2.45 ERA. However, advanced-stat Power Rankings suggest that Poteet may have been lucky and could potentially perform worse going forward. On the other hand, the Dodgers will rely on Yoshinobu Yamamoto, an elite pitcher according to the rankings, with a 6-2 record and a 3.32 ERA.

The Yankees have the advantage of playing at home, where they have been dominant this season. Their offense ranks as the best in MLB, showcasing their underlying talent. Despite ranking low in team batting average, the Yankees excel in home runs, while their stolen bases rank lower. The Dodgers, with the second-best offense in MLB, have a balanced approach with an average team batting average and a strong showing in home runs.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, projects the Dodgers as the favorite, with a win probability of 58%. However, the betting markets suggest a closer game, with the Yankees having an implied win probability of 48%. This indicates potential value in betting on the Dodgers.

Overall, the stage is set for an exciting matchup between two powerhouse teams. The Yankees' impressive home record and offensive prowess will be tested by the Dodgers' strong pitching and balanced offense. With both teams having great seasons, this game promises to be a thrilling showdown.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 4.3 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

• Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

This season, there has been a decline in Jason Heyward's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.11 ft/sec last year to 25.61 ft/sec currently.

• Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can't beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.

Los Angeles Dodgers bats as a group rank 5th- in MLB for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 9.2% Barrel%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

When it comes to his home runs, Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 15.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 35.9.

• xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+21.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5.89 vs New York Yankees 4.8

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