Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick – 7/7/2025

The Dodgers head to Milwaukee to face the Brewers on Monday night. Entering the final week before the All-Star break, the Dodgers have the best record in the National League this year, while the Brewers are firmly in playoff contention themselves. Here, I break down this marquee matchup in the National League and make my Dodgers vs Brewers prediction from Milwaukee.

Our Dodgers vs Brewers Pick

• Pick: Brewers moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers
• Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 7:40 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8‑6, 2.51 ERA), Freddy Peralta (9‑4, 2.91 ERA)
• Stadium: American Family Field
• Broadcast: SportsNet LA, FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has won his last two starts, allowing one run over 12 innings in those two games. His 2.51 ERA ranks ninth in MLB this season.
• Freddy Peralta has earned wins in his last four starts. He is 9-4 on the season and has benefited from a ton of run support lately, with the Brewers scoring seven or more runs in each of his last three starts.

Bullpen usage

The Dodgers’ bullpen ERA ranks 24th in MLB, while the Brewers bullpen is 19th in ERA. The Dodgers’ pen was worked hard in their recent series against the Houston Astros, which could have an impact on their ability to step up in this series.

Recent team streaks

• The Dodgers are coming off of three straight losses to the Astros, where they were outscored by a combined 29-6 margin.
• Milwaukee took two out of three games against the Miami Marlins in their last series.

Betting Trends & H2H

• This is the first game of the season series between these teams. They will play six games in the regular season against each other, all in July.
• Despite their excellent win/loss record this year, the Dodgers are just 42-49 on the runline this season.
• Los Angeles has gone over the total in 56.2% of their games. That percentage ranks third in MLB behind the Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs.

Dodgers vs Brewers Model Projection

Score Projection: Brewers 4 – Dodgers 3

Win Probability: Brewers 57%, Dodgers 43%

Final Thoughts

This is the best pitching matchup of the night in baseball as far as I’m concerned. But I’m worried about the Dodgers’ bullpen and their ability to bounce back from the series they just had against the Astros. If this game is close late, Milwaukee’s bullpen is in a better position to deliver in this contest. I’ll take Milwaukee to win this game as a home underdog in this possible postseason preview.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.