Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Pick – 7/30/2025
The Los Angeles Dodgers will face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Wednesday. The Dodgers have won the first two games of this series on the road. They will look to complete a three-game sweep with a win today behind Shohei Ohtani. Continue reading to get my Dodgers vs Reds prediction before this National League matchup begins.
Our Dodgers vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Dodgers -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Shohei Ohtani vs. Nick Martinez |
| Stadium | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Broadcast | MLB Network |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: Shohei Ohtani gets the start for the Dodgers tonight. Ohtani has yet to record a win or a loss and has a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings of work. The Dodgers have yet to ask Ohtani to throw more than a few innings and we likely won’t see him go too deep into this game either. Ohtani will be opposed by Nick Martinez of the Reds. Martinez is 9-9 with a 4.69 ERA. He has been a mixed bag this season for the Reds.
Bullpen Usage: The Dodgers’ bullpen has a higher ERA than the bullpen of the Reds this year. But LA has closed the door with their bullpen in each of the first two games of this series. They will look to do so again here.
Team Momentum: The Dodgers have won two straight games and three of their last five. The Reds are on a two-game losing streak after sweeping the Rays in the series before this one.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Shohei Ohtani | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 |
| Freddie Freeman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Dodgers are 2-0 against the Reds so far this season.
Los Angeles has scored five runs in each of the last two games against Cincinnati.
The Dodgers are 28-24 on the road this season.
Cincinnati is 31-24 at home after setbacks in their last two games.
Dodgers vs Reds Model Projection
Projected Score: Dodgers 6 – Reds 3
Win Probability: Dodgers 68%, Reds 32%
Final Thoughts
Ohtani being on the mound should give the Dodgers the upper hand for the first few innings. But it is the offensive mismatch in this game that prompts me to lay the runline with the Dodgers. Los Angeles is much better offensively than Cincinnati and that should offset the Dodgers having to rely so heavily on their bullpen if Ohtani doesn’t pitch for long.
