Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Preview – 6/25/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox Details

• Date: June 25, 2024
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Bobby Miller - Dodgers
  • Chris Flexen - White Sox

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

As the Chicago White Sox take on the Los Angeles Dodgers at Guaranteed Rate Field on June 25, 2024, it's clear that these two teams are heading in opposite directions this season. The White Sox, currently sitting at 21-59, are struggling mightily, while the Dodgers boast a strong 49-31 record. Yesterday's series opener saw the Dodgers dominate the struggling White Sox, adding to their impressive season.

Chris Flexen will start for the White Sox. Flexen, a right-hander with a 2-6 record and a 5.03 ERA, ranks as the 274th best starting pitcher in MLB. He's suffered from bad luck, as indicated by his 4.52 xERA, and is projected to pitch 4.9 innings while allowing 3.3 earned runs today. Flexen is a high-flyball pitcher, which may be problematic against the power-laden Dodgers offense, ranked 3rd in home runs with 108 this season.

On the mound for the Dodgers is Bobby Miller. Miller, another right-hander, has a 1-1 record with a 6.00 ERA, but his 3.45 xFIP suggests he's been quite unlucky. He ranks as the 67th best starting pitcher in MLB this season and is projected to pitch 5.4 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. Miller's high-groundball approach matches up well against a White Sox offense that ranks 26th in home runs.

The White Sox offense has struggled all year, ranking 30th in batting average and overall performance. Conversely, the Dodgers' offense is elite, ranking 1st in overall performance, 4th in batting average, and 3rd in home runs. Shohei Ohtani has been on fire for the Dodgers, hitting .364 with 4 home runs and 11 RBIs over the last week.

The White Sox bullpen, ranked 29th in MLB, adds to their woes, while the Dodgers' bullpen is a solid 6th. With such a stark contrast in team performance and individual matchups, the Dodgers enter this game as heavy favorites. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Dodgers a 64% chance of victory, underscoring their dominance this season and in this specific matchup.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Bobby Miller projects for 1.3 walks in this game, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers' bullpen projects as the 6th-best out of all major league teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Chris Flexen in the 21st percentile among all SPs in MLB.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Lenyn Sosa has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 6.06 vs Chicago White Sox 4.29

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