Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – 7/25/2025
The Boston Red Sox will host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday night in an interleague matchup in Major League Baseball. Both of these teams are above .500 on the year and have their sights set on playoff spots. Before first pitch from Boston, be sure to keep reading to get my Dodgers vs Red Sox prediction for their series opener.
Our Dodgers vs Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
- Get Your Bonus Bets: Click the Claim Bonus button below and sign up using BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet doesn’t win!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox
- Date & Time: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Emmet Sheehan (1‑1, 4.41 ERA) vs Brayan Bello (6‑4, 3.23 ERA)
- Stadium: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN and SportsNet LA
Key Storylines
- Dodgers driving force Shohei Ohtani is on a five-game home‑run streak and leads LA with 37 long balls.
- The Red Sox are just a couple of games behind the New York Yankees for second place in the AL East. A win here would be big for their Wild Card hopes.
Pitching Form
Emmet Sheehan hasn’t been particularly impressive for the Dodgers. He carries a 4.41 ERA and has been inconsistent in recent starts. Brayan Bello has a winning record at 6-4 this season. He’s been solid for Boston and has been valuable given all of the injuries they sustained to their starting rotation.
Bullpen Usage
The battle of the bullpens could go the way of the Red Sox in this game. Boston ranks fifth in the majors in bullpen ERA and the Dodgers are in the bottom 10 in that statistical category. If Sheehan doesn’t last deep into this game that could be a big advantage for Boston.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Red Sox got a win in their last game against the Philadelphia Phillies but dropped two in a row to Philly before that.
- The Dodgers won two of their last three games against the Minnesota Twins.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 0.5 Home runs |
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 1.5 Total bases |
| Wilyer Abreu | Over 0.5 Home runs |
| Wilyer Abreu | Over 1.5 Total bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Both teams are 2-3 over their last five games.
- This is the first game of the regular-season series between these teams this year.
- Boston is 32-20 at home on the season. Los Angeles is 25-22 in road games.
Dodgers vs Red Sox Model Projection
Score Projection: Red Sox 5 – Dodgers 4
Win Probability: Red Sox 56%, Dodgers 44%
Final Thoughts
I understand that the Dodgers are the defending champions and have a better record going into this game. But the Red Sox have a legitimate pitching advantage going into this series. Bello should be able to outperform Sheehan in this game and the Red Sox bullpen should close the door late. I’ll take the Red Sox as a home underdog to beat LA tonight.
