Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction For 4/26/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Overview

• Date: April 26, 2024
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Gavin Stone - Dodgers
  • Chris Bassitt - Blue Jays
• Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 135, Blue Jays 1.5 -155
• Money Line: Dodgers -120, Blue Jays 100
• Total (Over/Under): 9

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 52%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 48%

Projected Win %:

• Los Angeles Dodgers - 50.88%
• Toronto Blue Jays - 49.12%

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Toronto Blue Jays Game Preview & Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in an Interleague matchup on April 26, 2024. The game will take place at Rogers Centre, with the Blue Jays serving as the home team.

Both teams have had different levels of success this season. The Blue Jays currently hold a record of 13-13, indicating an average season so far. On the other hand, the Dodgers boast a strong record of 16-11, showcasing a great season thus far.

The Blue Jays are projected to start right-handed pitcher Chris Bassitt, who has shown promise as the #49 best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Bassitt has started five games this season and holds a win/loss record of 2-3. His ERA stands at 3.90, which is considered good. However, peripheral indicators such as SIERA, xERA, and FIP suggest that he may have been lucky and could perform worse going forward.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, are projected to start right-handed pitcher Gavin Stone. While Stone has started four games this year and holds a win/loss record of 1-1, his ERA stands at 6.00, which is considered poor. However, his xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and could perform better in future outings.

In terms of offense, the Blue Jays rank as the 18th best team in MLB, while the Dodgers rank as the 2nd best team. The Blue Jays have a solid team batting average, ranking 5th in MLB, while the Dodgers excel in home runs, ranking 2nd in the league. However, the Blue Jays have a slight edge in stolen bases, ranking 19th compared to the Dodgers' 20th.

When looking at the bullpens, the Blue Jays rank 5th best in MLB, while the Dodgers rank 7th best. Both teams have strong relief pitching, which could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game.

Based on the current odds, the Blue Jays have an implied win probability of 48%, while the Dodgers have an implied win probability of 52%. This suggests that the betting markets expect a close game.

Overall, this game presents an interesting matchup between the Blue Jays and the Dodgers. The Blue Jays' average season record will be put to the test against the Dodgers' strong performance. The starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt and Gavin Stone, will play a crucial role in determining the outcome. With the Blue Jays' solid offense and the Dodgers' powerful lineup, this game has the potential to be an exciting showdown on the field.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Gavin Stone will hold the platoon advantage over 7 opposing batters in this game.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (James Outman, Andy Pages, Teoscar Hernandez, Max Muncy).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

Chris Bassitt was in good form in his previous outing and allowed 2 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen profiles as the 7th-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 115 games (+9.25 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 games (+16.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Dodgers vs Blue Jays Prediction: Dodgers 4.92 - Blue Jays 4.58

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