Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Oct 29, 2024

New York Yankees

New York Yankees
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Pick & Prediction – 10/29/2024

  • Date: October 29, 2024
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Undecided - Dodgers
    • Luis Gil - Yankees

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Dodgers 120, Yankees -145
Runline: Dodgers 1.5 -155, Yankees -1.5 135
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -110

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 4 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Dodgers - 43% Los Angeles Dodgers - 49.07%
New York Yankees - 57% New York Yankees - 50.93%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 4 Betting Preview

The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers continue their World Series matchup on October 29, 2024, at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, currently ranked as the 3rd-best offense in MLB, will look to bounce back after a 4-2 loss to the Dodgers on October 28, one that put them in a 3-0 deficit in the series. Despite the loss, the Yankees remain favorites with a moneyline of -140, translating to an implied win probability of 56%. However, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Yankees a slightly lower win probability at 51%, suggesting a tight contest.

On the mound, the Yankees will start Luis Gil, a right-hander with a 15-7 record and a respectable 3.50 ERA. Gil, however, has shown some vulnerability with a high-flyball tendency and control issues, which could be problematic against the Dodgers' potent lineup. The Dodgers, boasting the 1st-best offense in MLB, lead the league in home runs and are 2nd in drawing walks. This combination of power and patience could exploit Gil's tendencies.

The Dodgers have yet to decide on who will start this game on the mound. No matter who does get the ball to start things off, they will need to have control against the Yankees' patient lineup, which leads the league in walks.

The Dodgers' offensive firepower, led by Shohei Ohtani, who boasts a .305 batting average and a 1.021 OPS, will be a key factor in this matchup. Meanwhile, Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .309 batting average and a 1.118 OPS, underscoring the high stakes of this clash between two of the league's best offenses. Betting on the Dodgers might offer value, as the projections suggest their win probability is 5% higher than the betting market indicates.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers' bullpen ranks as the 4th-best out of all teams in the majors.

  • Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Luis Gil in the 87th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

  • THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Aaron Judge as the 8th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent.

  • THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

  • This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+16.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 112 games (+23.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 4 Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.75 vs New York Yankees 4.58

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+114
41% LAD
-135
59% NYY

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-115
42% UN
8.5/-105
58% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-170
18% LAD
-1.5/+142
82% NYY

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
LAD
Team Stats
NYY
4.26
ERA
4.06
.239
Batting Avg Against
.231
1.24
WHIP
1.25
.288
BABIP
.276
7.8%
BB%
8.8%
23.0%
K%
23.5%
70.6%
LOB%
73.2%
.252
Batting Avg
.232
.456
SLG
.402
.795
OPS
.709
.339
OBP
.307
LAD
Team Records
NYY
52-29
Home
44-37
46-35
Road
50-31
62-47
vRHP
73-45
36-17
vLHP
21-23
51-41
vs>.500
55-38
47-23
vs<.500
39-30
8-2
Last10
5-5
13-7
Last20
12-8
20-10
Last30
16-14
B. Casparius
L. Gil
N/A
Innings
4.0
N/A
GS
1
N/A
W-L
0-0
N/A
ERA
9.00
N/A
K/9
11.25
N/A
BB/9
4.50
N/A
HR/9
0.00
N/A
LOB%
42.9%
N/A
HR/FB%
0.0%
N/A
FIP
2.11
N/A
xFIP
3.22

B. Casparius

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

L. Gil

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/18 CLE
Civale N/A
L3-11 N/A
4.1
3
3
2
6
4
50-88
9/13 MIN
Gant N/A
W6-5 N/A
6
7
5
5
8
1
63-102
9/8 TOR
Manoah N/A
L3-6 N/A
3.1
1
3
3
6
7
47-91
8/17 BOS
Eovaldi N/A
W2-0 N/A
4.2
3
0
0
4
4
44-71
8/8 SEA
Kikuchi N/A
L0-2 N/A
5
2
0
0
8
2
59-92

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAD NYY
LAD NYY
Consensus
+110
-130
+115
-134
+110
-130
+114
-135
+110
-130
+114
-134
+114
-134
+114
-134
+110
-130
+115
-135
+110
-130
+115
-135
Open
Current
Book
LAD NYY
LAD NYY
Consensus
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+148)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-184)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-184)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+155)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-112)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-112)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
9.5 (+100)
9.5 (-122)
8.5 (-104)
8.5 (-118)
8.5 (-103)
8.5 (-118)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-109)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)

Game Props

  • Shutout
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • Total Bases
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • To Score A Run
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • Singles
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • Total Home Runs
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • First Team To Score
  • First Team To 5 Runs
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Doubles
  • To Score First And Win
  • Stolen Bases
  • First To 2 Runs
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • To Win To Nil
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • Triples
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • To Score Last And Win
  • Shutout
  • Both Teams Score 2 Or More Runs
  • Over/Under 1.5 Runs
  • Total Bases
  • Total Runs Odd/Even
  • To Score A Run
  • First Team To 4 Runs
  • Total Batting Strikeouts
  • Most Hits (3-Way)
  • Singles
  • Both Teams Score 4 Or More Runs
  • Total Home Runs
  • Both Teams Score 3 Or More Runs
  • 2+ Run Scoring Play
  • First Team To 3 Runs
  • First Team To Score
  • First Team To 5 Runs
  • To Play Extra Innings
  • Both Teams Score 7 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 7 Runs
  • Both Teams Score 1 Or More Runs
  • Either Pitcher to Strike Out the Side
  • Doubles
  • To Score First And Win
  • Stolen Bases
  • First To 2 Runs
  • Team To Record Highest Scoring Inning (3-Way)
  • 3+ Run Scoring Play
  • To Hit a Grand Slam
  • To Win To Nil
  • Team To Score First and Win
  • Both Teams Score 5 Or More Runs
  • First Team To 6 Runs
  • Triples
  • Both Teams Score 6 Or More Runs
  • Walks Allowed
  • To Score Last And Win
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+1100
+900
+1100
+900
+1100
+900
+1100
+900
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-250
+150
-250
+155
Consensus
-1000
+425
-900
+400
Consensus
+201
-297
+201
-297
Consensus
-150
+100
-145
-105
-264
+219
-324
+202
-250
+150
-225
+155
-1000
+425
-1000
+425
+200
-300
+220
-300
-105
-145
+100
-150
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+300
-420
+310
-420
Consensus
+260
-310
+240
-340
Consensus
+250
-325
+260
-325
Consensus
+245
-320
+245
-320
Consensus
+250
-340
+250
-310
Consensus
-340
+250
-320
+250
Consensus
+370
-480
+370
-550
Consensus
+285
-385
+280
-355
Consensus
-280
+210
-265
+220
-420
+310
-430
+310
+240
-320
+245
-320
-325
+260
-325
+245
-320
+245
-310
+240
-310
+260
-340
+300
-340
+285
-320
+260
+390
-500
+370
-520
-370
+285
-355
+285
-260
+210
-265
+205
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-123
-119
-129
-123
-123
-113
-123
-131
Open
Current
Book
Even Odd
Even Odd
Consensus
-262
+205
-257
+210
Consensus
-257
+202
-255
+205
Consensus
+210
-265
+212
-265
Consensus
-159
+130
-160
+127
Consensus
+210
-260
+210
-252
Consensus
+210
-257
+195
-240
Consensus
-400
+300
-350
+290
Consensus
+185
-252
+204
-250
Consensus
-265
+210
-265
+252
Consensus
-262
+210
-250
+200
+200
-260
+210
-250
-260
+210
-250
+200
-250
+210
-260
+200
+120
-150
+120
-150
+225
-280
+195
-240
-230
+185
-250
+200
+300
-350
+290
-350
-240
+195
-230
+165
+185
-230
+270
-320
-240
+195
-260
+210
+205
-260
+205
-260
-265
+205
-265
+210
-265
+225
-280
+210
-168
+136
-170
+138
-280
+225
-280
+220
+210
-265
+210
-280
-225
+172
-240
+190
+240
-300
+235
-300
-265
+210
-265
+210
-155
+135
-160
+125
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-130
-104
-128
-102
Consensus
+104
-124
+106
-128
Consensus
-115
-104
-118
-104
Consensus
-110
-115
-115
-117
Consensus
-118
+100
-118
+102
Consensus
-145
+122
-146
+116
Consensus
-184
+146
-188
+152
Consensus
+104
-138
+110
-134
Consensus
-130
-102
-122
+100
-105
-125
-105
-125
-102
-122
+100
-122
-120
+104
-122
-102
-102
-115
-104
-118
-102
-125
-102
-125
-102
-120
+100
-114
-138
+108
-150
+124
-188
+152
-200
+152
-134
+110
-132
+110
-122
+102
-122
+104
-115
-115
-110
-110
+105
-140
+110
-135
-105
-125
-110
-125
Open
Current
Book
Neither Away Home
Neither Away Home
Consensus
+413
+140
+120
+413
+139
+119
+400
+127
+111
+410
+116
+105
+390
+145
+110
+400
+135
+115
+148
+128
+410
+138
+122
+390
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-104
-119
-135
-141
-108
-135
-119
-125
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Draw
Home Away Draw
Consensus
+750
+115
+100
+750
+110
+120
+105
+100
+900
+120
-115
+1100
+100
+115
+700
-105
+105
+750
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-107
-137
-107
-137
-137
-107
-137
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-249
+174
-254
+170
Consensus
+340
-650
+333
-650
Consensus
+675
-3000
+650
-3000
+146
-224
+165
-234
+190
-275
+175
-250
+340
-650
+320
-650
+650
-2500
+675
-3000
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-146
+110
-146
+110
+120
-140
+110
-160
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-10000
+800
-10000
+800
Consensus
-700
+350
-650
+350
Consensus
-122
-113
-123
-112
Consensus
-250
+160
-250
+160
-111
-137
-119
-115
+800
-10000
+800
-10000
-700
+350
-650
+350
-110
-120
-115
-125
+175
-250
+160
-275
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+375
-500
+375
-500
+375
-500
+400
-550
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
-114
+114
+943
-106
+104
+990
+101
-113
+950
-110
-103
+950
-110
+105
+850
-115
+105
+900
+1120
+120
+100
+980
+126
-110
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+103
-142
+106
-144
-140
+100
-130
+110
+110
-145
+110
-145
-145
+105
-140
+105
Open
Current
Book
Neither Away Home
Neither Away Home
Consensus
+198
+146
+174
+191
+148
+180
+200
+150
+145
+200
+160
+135
+180
+165
+200
+175
+140
+205
+180
+184
+152
+176
+210
+158
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+753
-1316
+716
-1316
-1450
+800
-1450
+780
+750
-1400
+775
-1200
+600
-1300
+750
-1300
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-3752
+892
-4152
+856
-2504
+835
-3304
+835
-5000
+950
-5000
+900
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Neither
Home Away Neither
Consensus
+346
+346
-180
+326
+361
-177
+280
+350
-175
+320
+325
-195
-190
+360
+400
-175
+360
+390
+330
-188
+370
+330
-188
+360
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-225
+145
-225
+135
Consensus
-550
+280
-550
+290
Consensus
-210
+135
-225
+145
Consensus
+548
-1252
+548
-1252
+522
-1104
+522
-1304
-200
+135
-225
+145
-550
+300
-550
+290
+135
-210
+135
-210
+575
-1400
+575
-1400
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+750
+750
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-115
-127
-115
-127
-127
-115
-127
-115
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-237
+183
-232
+181
-215
+180
-225
+172
-250
+190
-250
+190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
-131
-111
-117
-125
-115
-117
-125
-131
Open
Current
Book
Away Home Neither
Away Home Neither
Consensus
-107
-122
+2400
-116
-120
+2500
-135
-107
+2200
-119
-117
+2500
Open
Current
Book
Draw Home Away
Draw Home Away
Consensus
+360
+150
+110
+340
+145
+110
+360
+110
+150
+360
+115
+155
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
+170
-210
+170
-210
-210
+170
-200
+170
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+1000
-2500
+1100
-2000
-2000
+1000
-2000
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Neither Away Home
Neither Away Home
Consensus
-1150
+1600
+1200
-1250
+1400
+1100
+1500
-1050
+1000
+1600
-1100
+1000
Open
Current
Book
Away Home
Away Home
Consensus
+185
+175
+165
+165
+175
+165
+185
+185
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
+330
-552
+330
-577
Consensus
-2500
+600
-2000
+575
-504
+311
-454
+287
+340
-650
+350
-650
-2500
+575
-2000
+600
Open
Current
Book
Home Away Neither
Home Away Neither
Consensus
+215
+258
+100
+225
+248
+104
-102
+210
+225
+105
+220
+210
+270
+100
+220
+255
+100
+215
-102
+250
+235
+110
+240
+220
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
+506
-1308
+523
-1408
-1408
+506
-1308
+506
Open
Current
Book
No Yes
No Yes
Consensus
-1402
+573
-1352
+586
-1104
+495
-1004
+572
-1400
+600
-1600
+625
Open
Current
Book
Under Over
Under Over
Consensus
-115
-127
-137
-107
-137
-107
-115
-127
Open
Current
Book
Yes No
Yes No
Consensus
-230
+176
-245
+186
-225
+180
-225
+186