Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 Best Bet – 10/30/2024

• Date: October 30, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jack Flaherty - Dodgers
  • Gerrit Cole - Yankees

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 Betting Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Betting Preview

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on October 30, 2024, the Yankees are still hanging around in the World Series for now. New York beat the Dodgers at home in Game 4 of this series, preventing a sweep to force this Game 5. The Dodgers boast the 1st-ranked offense in MLB, while the Yankees aren't far behind, holding the 3rd spot. This interleague matchup at Yankee Stadium promises to be a clash of titans, with both teams in contention for playoff spots.

The Yankees are leaning on Gerrit Cole, who has been a reliable presence on the mound this season. Despite a solid 3.41 ERA, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, indicates that Cole might have been a bit fortunate, as his 3.99 xFIP suggests some regression could be on the horizon. Cole has been a high-flyball pitcher, which might be a concern against the powerful Dodgers lineup that leads the league with 260 home runs. However, Cole's ability to limit walks (projected at 1.5) could mitigate some of the damage from the Dodgers' patient approach.

Jack Flaherty takes the mound for the Dodgers, bringing a strong 3.17 ERA into the game. The projections suggest Flaherty might struggle slightly, with a projected 2.6 earned runs allowed. His low-walk rate (5.9 BB%) could prove advantageous against the Yankees, who lead the league in drawing walks. While both pitchers are projected to pitch fewer than five innings, their respective bullpens, ranked 2nd for the Dodgers and 4th for the Yankees, are well-equipped to handle the workload.

Offensively, the Yankees will look to Juan Soto, who has been their standout performer recently, while the Dodgers will rely on Freddie Freeman's hot bat. With the Yankees favored and a game total set at 8.0 runs, this matchup promises to be a thrilling showcase of talent and strategy.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Among every team today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Max Muncy is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of New York (#2-best on the slate).

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Tallying 93.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Gerrit Cole falls in the 83rd percentile.

• Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Gleyber Torres has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 117 games (+17.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 62 of their last 102 games (+24.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 games (+14.50 Units / 132% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.78 vs New York Yankees 5.09

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.