Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Odds – 8/10/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Details

• Date: August 10, 2024
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Griffin Canning - Angels
  • Patrick Corbin - Nationals

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Betting Preview

As the Washington Nationals prepare to welcome the Los Angeles Angels to Nationals Park on August 10, 2024, both teams are struggling through disappointing seasons, sitting under .500 with records of 52-64 and 51-64, respectively. This matchup marks the second game of the series, and the stakes remain minimal as neither team is in contention for a postseason berth.

In their most recent outing, the Nationals picked up a 3-2 win over the Angels in 10 innings. Patrick Corbin, projected to start for the Nationals, has had a rough year with a 2-12 record and a troubling 5.88 ERA, ranking him as the 307th best starting pitcher in MLB. However, advanced metrics suggest he might be due for better days ahead, indicating that he has been somewhat unlucky this season.

Contrastingly, Griffin Canning will take the mound for the Angels. He also boasts a less-than-stellar record at 4-10 with an ERA of 5.10, placing him among the worst pitchers in the league. Canning's low strikeout rate (17.5 K%) may benefit the Nationals, who are among the least strikeout-prone offenses in MLB.

Recent trends show that while the Nationals have struggled with power—ranking 29th in home runs—they excel in stolen bases, placing 3rd in the league. In contrast, the Angels' offense, ranked 22nd in batting average, has found some success on the base paths as well, sitting 7th in stolen bases.

As the game approaches, betting markets have set both teams' moneyline at -110, reflecting a close matchup. The leading MLB projection system forecasts the Nationals to score an average of 4.63 runs, while the Angels are projected for 5.18 runs, indicating that the Angels may have a slight edge in this contest.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Griffin Canning's change-up rate has jumped by 6% from last season to this one (21.8% to 27.8%) .

• Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.

Washington's #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Nolan Schanuel, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team's defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

Patrick Corbin's 90.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 12th percentile out of all SPs.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The 4th-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+8.45 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 5.43 vs Washington Nationals 4.69

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