Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Picks – 8/22/2024

• Date: August 22, 2024
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Griffin Canning - Angels
  • Jake Bloss - Blue Jays

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

On August 22, 2024, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Los Angeles Angels in the first game of a series at Rogers Centre. Both teams are struggling this season, with the Blue Jays holding a record of 59-68 and the Angels at 54-73. Although neither team is contending for a playoff spot, this matchup offers an opportunity for both to gain some momentum.

In their previous game, the Blue Jays lost to the Cincinnati Reds by a score of 11-7, while the Angels were blanked by the Kansas City Royals in a 3-0 defeat. Notably, the Angels are coming off a rough outing, and both teams will be eager to turn their fortunes around.

Jake Bloss is projected to take the mound for the Blue Jays, and despite his struggles this season, the projections suggest a potential for improvement. He has an ERA of 6.94 and has yet to secure a win, but his xFIP of 4.77 indicates he could be due for a better performance. Meanwhile, Griffin Canning will start for the Angels, holding a 5.41 ERA and a disappointing win-loss record of 4-11. Both pitchers have exhibited low strikeout rates, which could provide the Blue Jays' offense, ranked 15th for the season, a chance to capitalize.

Despite recent performances, the Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -165 and an implied team total of 4.74 runs, while the Angels have a moneyline of +145, reflecting an average team total of 3.76 runs. According to the leading MLB projection system, the Blue Jays are projected to score around 4.96 runs, suggesting they may have an edge in this matchup. With both teams looking to shake off recent losses, this game has the potential for an exciting showdown.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Griffin Canning is projected to strikeout 3.7 batters in this outing, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Brandon Drury hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

With 6 hitters who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, John Bloss figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Ernie Clement has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.4-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last two weeks.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Toronto Blue Jays (19.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

• THE BAT X analyzes each player in today's specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+19.05 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 4.52 vs Toronto Blue Jays 4.94

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