Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 7/5/2025

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to take on the Los Angeles Angels at Rogers Centre on Saturday, July 5, 2025. Toronto enters the contest as the favorite after keeping their winning streak alive at home in an extra-inning thriller on Friday. Here, I take a look at this game from a betting perspective and give you my Angels vs Blue Jays prediction.

Our Angels vs Blue Jays Pick

• Pick: Blue Jays moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025 – 3:07 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Jack Kochanowicz (LAA, 3‑8, 5.44 ERA) vs Max Scherzer (TOR, 0‑0, 4.85 ERA)
• Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
• Broadcast: SNET (local), FDSW

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

• Jack Kochanowicz: The Angels starter is struggling with a 5.44 ERA and 15 home runs allowed over 86 innings. Left‐handed hitters have torched him with a 6.47 FIP and he could have trouble with Toronto’s power hitters.
• Max Scherzer: Fresh off two comeback starts after thumb surgery, he has yet to look like the pitcher we’re accustomed to seeing. But he has another chance to change that today.

Bullpen Usage

• Angels bullpen ranks in the bottom four in ERA and is a liability if Kochanowicz departs early.
• Blue Jays have a top‑15 bullpen by FIP, which could come in handy if Scherzer doesn’t go deep into this one.

Recent Team Streaks

• Blue Jays: Winners of six straight overall, they will look to build on yesterday’s 10-inning, walk-off win.
• Angels: The Angels have won two of their last five games, alternating wins and losses in each.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Last 5 Games: Blue Jays are 5‑0 straight up. Angels are 2-3.
• Toronto is 21-15 as a favorite so far this season.
• The Blue Jays are 30-19 after a win this year, an MLB-best 61.2% win rate.
• These teams have split the first four games of their season series in 2025.

Angels vs Blue Jays Model Projection

Score Projection: Blue Jays 6 – Angels 4

Win Probability: Blue Jays 63%, Angels 37%

Final Thoughts

Los Angeles slots in as a respectable underdog but faces steep challenges. Kochanowicz’s inability to contain left‑handed power, combined with a shaky bullpen, could cause problems against Toronto’s high‑powered lineup. Max Scherzer’s upside and strong bullpen support tilt this game decisively toward the home side. With momentum clearly on Toronto’s side and the Blue Jays riding a hot streak, I think backing the Toronto moneyline is a smart play.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.