Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Prediction – 4/16/2025

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Betting Preview

In this American League West matchup, the Texas Rangers will look to build on their recent success against the Los Angeles Angels after winning yesterday's game 4-0. With a record of 10-7, the Rangers are enjoying a solid season, while the Angels stand at 9-7, showcasing their competitive spirit.

Texas is set to start Patrick Corbin, who has struggled this season, ranking as the 297th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats. His ERA of 6.75 and alarming projections indicate he may allow 3.3 earned runs and 5.9 hits today, which could put the Rangers in a tough spot. However, the Angels' offense, while potent, ranks 25th in walks, which may help Corbin mitigate some of his control issues.

On the other side, Los Angeles will counter with Jose Soriano, who has been solid, boasting a 2.70 ERA and ranking 38th best in MLB. His latest start saw him go 8 innings with just 1 earned run allowed, highlighting his capability to dominate. The projections suggest he may allow 2.5 earned runs, further underscoring his advantage over Corbin.

Despite the Rangers’ offensive woes—ranking 24th in MLB overall—their power is still present with a respectable 15 home runs this season. The Angels, however, possess the 2nd best home run tally, making for an intriguing dynamic given Corbin’s high flyball rate.

With the Rangers currently holding a moneyline of +105 and implied team total of 4.58 runs, this matchup promises to be competitive. The Angels, favored at -125 with an implied total of 4.92 runs, are expected to leverage their offensive strength against a struggling Corbin. Given that both pitchers have their challenges, this game could deliver an unpredictable result, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jose Soriano is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of the day.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Jo Adell has big-time power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Adell.

• If he is less likely to strikeout, he'll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.

Mike Trout hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

With 9 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Patrick Corbin has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

In comparison to his 88.5-mph average last year, Jonah Heim's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.1 mph.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Texas Rangers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

• When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Game Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.35 Units / 14% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 5.28, Texas Rangers 4.28

• Date: April 16, 2025
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jose Soriano - Angels
  • Patrick Corbin - Rangers

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