Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels

Aug 7, 2024

New York Yankees

New York Yankees
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Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Game 1 Prediction – 8/7/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Game 1 Details

  • Date: August 7, 2024
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Davis Daniel - Angels
    • Luis Gil - Yankees

Angels vs Yankees Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Angels +245, Yankees -305
Runline: Angels +1.5 +114, Yankees -1.5 -135
Over/Under Total: 8.5

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Angels - 28.99% Los Angeles Angels - 25.41%
New York Yankees - 75.31% New York Yankees - 74.59%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Game 1 Betting Preview

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on August 7, 2024, they find themselves in a favorable position, sitting at 67-46 and boasting the best offense in MLB. The Yankees are coming off a strong performance, having secured a victory in their last outing, which adds to their momentum as they enter this double-header.

Luis Gil, projected to take the mound for the Yankees, has been a key contributor to their success this season. With an impressive 11-5 record and a stellar ERA of 3.20, he ranks as the 39th best starting pitcher according to advanced stats. However, his 4.04 xFIP suggests he may have experienced some luck this year, potentially indicating a slight decline in performance going forward. Gil projects to pitch an average of 5.8 innings while allowing just 2.1 earned runs, which could be crucial against a struggling Angels lineup.

On the other hand, Davis Daniel will start for the Angels, who sit at 49-63 and have struggled throughout the season. Daniel's 4.91 ERA and 1-2 record highlight his difficulties on the mound, and he projects to allow 3.2 earned runs over 5.0 innings. The Yankees' powerful offense, which ranks 2nd in home runs with 149 this season, poses a significant threat to Daniel, especially given his high flyball rate.

With the Yankees heavily favored in this matchup, the projections suggest they should score around 5.74 runs, while the Angels are expected to manage only 3.54 runs. This game marks the first meeting of the series, and with the Yankees' potent offense against a struggling Angels team, it sets the stage for a compelling contest at Yankee Stadium.

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 3.81 vs New York Yankees 5.86

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+245
5% LAA
-303
95% NYY

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-115
7% UN
8.5/-105
93% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/+120
3% LAA
-1.5/-142
97% NYY

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
LAA
Team Stats
NYY
4.58
ERA
4.06
.247
Batting Avg Against
.231
1.39
WHIP
1.25
.301
BABIP
.276
9.9%
BB%
8.8%
23.6%
K%
23.5%
71.2%
LOB%
73.2%
.251
Batting Avg
.232
.437
SLG
.402
.761
OPS
.709
.324
OBP
.307
LAA
Team Records
NYY
32-49
Home
44-37
31-50
Road
50-31
49-79
vRHP
73-45
14-20
vLHP
21-23
40-58
vs>.500
55-38
23-41
vs<.500
39-30
1-9
Last10
5-5
4-16
Last20
12-8
9-21
Last30
16-14
D. Daniel
L. Gil
N/A
Innings
4.0
N/A
GS
1
N/A
W-L
0-0
N/A
ERA
9.00
N/A
K/9
11.25
N/A
BB/9
4.50
N/A
HR/9
0.00
N/A
LOB%
42.9%
N/A
HR/FB%
0.0%
N/A
FIP
2.11
N/A
xFIP
3.22

D. Daniel

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

L. Gil

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
9/18 CLE
Civale N/A
L3-11 N/A
4.1
3
3
2
6
4
50-88
9/13 MIN
Gant N/A
W6-5 N/A
6
7
5
5
8
1
63-102
9/8 TOR
Manoah N/A
L3-6 N/A
3.1
1
3
3
6
7
47-91
8/17 BOS
Eovaldi N/A
W2-0 N/A
4.2
3
0
0
4
4
44-71
8/8 SEA
Kikuchi N/A
L0-2 N/A
5
2
0
0
8
2
59-92

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAA NYY
LAA NYY
Consensus
+218
-265
+245
-303
+215
-265
+240
-298
+225
-275
+260
-320
+225
-275
+245
-295
+215
-267
+210
-260
+220
-275
+260
-350
Open
Current
Book
LAA NYY
LAA NYY
Consensus
+1.5 (+109)
-1.5 (-130)
+1.5 (+119)
-1.5 (-143)
+1.5 (+120)
-1.5 (-142)
+1.5 (+120)
-1.5 (-142)
+1.5 (+104)
-1.5 (-125)
+1.5 (+130)
-1.5 (-156)
+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-130)
+1.5 (+116)
-1.5 (-141)
+1.5 (+100)
-1.5 (-120)
+1.5 (+100)
-1.5 (-120)
+1.5 (+105)
-1.5 (-125)
+1.5 (+130)
-1.5 (-155)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-113)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (-114)
9.0 (-118)
9.0 (-103)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-109)
9.0 (-115)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)