Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks 8/8/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Details

• Date: August 8, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tyler Anderson - Angels
  • Marcus Stroman - Yankees

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

On August 8, 2024, the New York Yankees will face off against the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Yankees, currently sitting at 68-47, are enjoying a solid season and have established themselves as one of the top teams in the league. In contrast, the Angels are struggling with a 50-64 record, finding themselves among the lower tiers of the standings.

Yesterday, the Angels and Yankees split a double-header, with the Yankees winning Game 1 before the Angels bounced back to secure a split. With their offense ranked 1st in MLB, the Yankees have the firepower to capitalize on the left-handed Tyler Anderson, who is projected to allow 3.3 earned runs on average. The projections indicate that the Yankees could score around 5.63 runs in this game, a testament to their strong batting lineup, which is 2nd in home runs this season with 149.

Marcus Stroman, the Yankees' projected starter, may be below average in Power Rankings at #141 among MLB starters, but he has been dependable, pitching an average of 6.0 innings and allowing just 2.4 earned runs. On the other hand, Anderson, with a solid ERA of 3.05, is also seen as a below-average pitcher due to his elevated xFIP of 4.81. This discrepancy suggests that he may not sustain his current form against a potent Yankees offense.

With an implied team total of 5.25 runs, the Yankees are heavy favorites at -270, while the Angels are underdogs at +230. The projections support this, highlighting the Yankees as a strong contender for victory in this matchup. As both teams look to make their mark, it should be an exciting game in the Bronx.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Tyler Anderson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 3.05 rate is a good deal lower than his 4.45 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

• Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.

Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst on the slate).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Kevin Pillar pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-deepest LF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Marcus Stroman's fastball velocity has dropped 1.5 mph this year (89.4 mph) below where it was last season (90.9 mph).

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The New York Yankees have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Aaron Judge).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+21.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 79 games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 3.87 vs New York Yankees 5.63

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