Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds & Picks – 8/6/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Details

• Date: August 6, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Davis Daniel - Angels
  • Luis Gil - Yankees

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

As the New York Yankees prepare to face the Los Angeles Angels on August 6, 2024, they enter the matchup with a solid 67-46 record, showcasing their dominance this season. The Yankees are currently ranked 1st in MLB for offensive production, a stark contrast to the Angels, who sit at 25th in the league. This series opener is critical for both teams, especially given the Angels' struggles at 49-63.

In their last game, the Yankees showcased their offensive prowess in a win over the Toronto Blue Jays, contributing to their impressive season. They are projected to start Luis Gil, who has been a reliable asset with an 11-5 record and a commendable 3.20 ERA. Gil ranks as the 39th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics, indicating his solid performance this year. He projects to pitch an average of 5.5 innings and allow only 2.1 earned runs today, which should bolster the Yankees' chances.

On the other side, the Angels will counter with Davis Daniel, who has had a rough start to the season with a 1-2 record and a 4.91 ERA. His projections suggest he will struggle against the Yankees' powerful lineup, allowing an average of 3.2 earned runs over 4.8 innings. Daniel's high flyball rate could be problematic against a Yankees team that has already hit 149 home runs this season, ranking 2nd in the league.

With the Yankees favored heavily in the betting markets, their implied team total stands at 5.49 runs, while the Angels are projected at just 3.51 runs. The Yankees' ability to capitalize on Daniel's weaknesses could lead to a decisive victory, making this matchup one to watch closely.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Davis Daniel will ring up an average of 14.5 outs in this game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Brandon Drury has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

When estimating his strikeout ability, Luis Gil projects as the 17th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Aaron Judge's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 93.8-mph in the last week.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the New York Yankees.

• A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+18.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 away games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 61% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 3.82 vs New York Yankees 5.87

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