Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Pick – 7/21/2025
The Los Angeles Angels visit Citi Field to face the New York Mets on Monday night. The Mets are in the race for a division championship this year. And while the Angels can’t say the same, they have worked their way into Wild Card contention in the American League. Before this game with huge playoff implications on both sides, continue reading to get my Angels vs Mets prediction from Queens.
Our Angels vs Mets Pick
Pick: Mets -1.5
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Date & Time: Monday, July 21, 2025, at 7:10 PM EDT
Starting Pitchers: Tyler Anderson vs Kodai Senga
Stadium: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
Broadcast: SNY and FDSW
Key Storylines
Pitching form: Kodai Senga boasts a 1.39 ERA and has gone 7-3 on the year. He has pitched at least six innings in four of his last five starts. Tyler Anderson of the Angels is 2-6 and carries a 4.34 ERA. Anderson is not trending in the right direction and the Angels will have their work cut out for them if he can’t recover from his recent rough patch.
Bullpen usage: The bullpen battle is one that the Mets will expect to win in this game. The Angels have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball this season. They are one of just three teams with a bullpen ERA over 5.00. They join the Athletics and Washington Nationals in that group.
Recent team streaks: The Mets have lost three of their last five games. New York did snap a three-game losing streak with Sunday’s win over the Cincinnati Reds. The Angels have posted a 3-2 record in their last five contests.
Best Player Props
Prop
Player
Home Runs
Pete Alonso: Over 0.5
Strikeouts
Kodai Senga: Over 5.5
Total Bases
Mike Trout: Over 1.5
Betting Trends & H2H
This is the first game of a three-game regular season series between these two clubs.
The Mets are 34-16 at home. The Angels are 25-27 on the road for the year.
The Angels are one game below .500 for the season but have a -59 run differential.
Angels vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 5 – Angels 3
Win Probability: Mets 62%, Angels 38%
Final Thoughts
I think that the Angels’ run differential is one of the most overlooked stats in baseball right now. The Angels have done a nice job of working their way through a rough start to their season. But they are still clearly the worst team in many of their games, as evidenced by that negative run difference. I expect the Mets to win this game and clear the runline as a favorite at home in this series opener.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Pick – 7/21/2025
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