Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Pick – 7/21/2025

The Los Angeles Angels visit Citi Field to face the New York Mets on Monday night. The Mets are in the race for a division championship this year. And while the Angels can’t say the same, they have worked their way into Wild Card contention in the American League. Before this game with huge playoff implications on both sides, continue reading to get my Angels vs Mets prediction from Queens.

Our Angels vs Mets Pick

  • Pick: Mets -1.5
  • Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets
  • Date & Time: Monday, July 21, 2025, at 7:10 PM EDT
  • Starting Pitchers: Tyler Anderson vs Kodai Senga
  • Stadium: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
  • Broadcast: SNY and FDSW

Key Storylines

  • Pitching form: Kodai Senga boasts a 1.39 ERA and has gone 7-3 on the year. He has pitched at least six innings in four of his last five starts. Tyler Anderson of the Angels is 2-6 and carries a 4.34 ERA. Anderson is not trending in the right direction and the Angels will have their work cut out for them if he can’t recover from his recent rough patch.
  • Bullpen usage: The bullpen battle is one that the Mets will expect to win in this game. The Angels have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball this season. They are one of just three teams with a bullpen ERA over 5.00. They join the Athletics and Washington Nationals in that group.
  • Recent team streaks: The Mets have lost three of their last five games. New York did snap a three-game losing streak with Sunday’s win over the Cincinnati Reds. The Angels have posted a 3-2 record in their last five contests.

Best Player Props

PropPlayer
Home RunsPete Alonso: Over 0.5
StrikeoutsKodai Senga: Over 5.5
Total BasesMike Trout: Over 1.5
  • This is the first game of a three-game regular season series between these two clubs.
  • The Mets are 34-16 at home. The Angels are 25-27 on the road for the year.
  • The Angels are one game below .500 for the season but have a -59 run differential.

Angels vs Mets Model Projection

Score Projection: Mets 5 – Angels 3

Win Probability: Mets 62%, Angels 38%

Final Thoughts

I think that the Angels’ run differential is one of the most overlooked stats in baseball right now. The Angels have done a nice job of working their way through a rough start to their season. But they are still clearly the worst team in many of their games, as evidenced by that negative run difference. I expect the Mets to win this game and clear the runline as a favorite at home in this series opener.


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Home MLB Picks Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Pick – 7/21/2025