Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Pick – 8/31/2025
The Houston Astros will host the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday afternoon in a battle of AL West opponents. These division rivals have split the first two games of this four-game series and the Astros will try and get a huge win for their playoff chances at home today. Before the Astros and Angels play today, you can continue reading to get my breakdown of this contest and my Angels vs Astros prediction.
Our Angels vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Houston Astros -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 31, 2025, 2:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Jose Soriano vs Hunter Brown
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Hunter Brown is 10-6 with a 2.37 ERA for the Astros this year. He limits hard contact and misses bats at a high percentage. Jose Soriano of the Angels is 9-9 with a 3.85 ERA and 136 strikeouts across 154.1 innings. Soriano can generate swings and misses but has allowed more baserunners and more damage than Brown.
Playoff Update
Houston holds a three-game lead in the AL West standings going into today’s games. They will look to maintain that gap over the Seattle Mariners with a win at home today. The Angels are 11.5 games back of the Astros and aren’t likely to compete for a Wild Card spot over the final month of the season.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Angels snapped a three-game losing streak by beating the Astros on Saturday.
- Houston had won three straight games before Saturday’s loss and they will look to get back into the win column here.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type |
|---|---|
| Taylor Ward | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Yordan Alvarez | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Hunter Brown | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Houston holds a 5-3 lead in their season series with the Angels.
- The first two games of this four-game series have gone under their respective totals.
- The Angels have outscored the Astros 4-3 over the last two games.
Angels vs Astros Model Projection
Score Projection: Los Angeles Angels 2 – Houston Astros 4
Win Probability: Los Angeles Angels 34%, Houston Astros 66%
Final Thoughts
This has the feel of a game where the Houston Astros break out offensively to some degree. Houston has been largely held in check by the Angels’ pitching staff in this series so far. That should change here, as the bats of the Astros should experience some positive regression. I’ll go with the Astros to win this game and cover the runline at home to take a 2-1 lead going into the fourth and final game of this series on Monday.
