Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 4/13/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Overview

• Date: April 13, 2024
• Venue: Fenway Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Griffin Canning - Angels
  • Cooper Criswell - Red Sox
• Run Line: Angels -1.5 135, Red Sox 1.5 -155
• Money Line: Angels -110, Red Sox -110
• Total (Over/Under):10.5 -110

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Los Angeles Angels - 50%
• Boston Red Sox - 50%

Projected Win %:

• Los Angeles Angels - 46.8%
• Boston Red Sox - 53.2%

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Game Preview & Prediction

In an American League matchup, the Boston Red Sox are set to take on the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park on April 13, 2024. The Red Sox, with a current record of 7-7, are having an average season so far, while the Angels hold a slightly better record of 7-6, making their season above average.

The Red Sox will be the home team for this game, and they will be hoping to bounce back after a tough loss against the Angels in their previous game. The Angels dominated with a 7-0 victory. However, the Red Sox are known for their strong offense, ranking third in team batting average this season, which could give them an edge in this matchup.

On the pitching front, the Red Sox are projected to start right-handed pitcher Cooper Criswell. Criswell, according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, is one of the worst starting pitchers in MLB. He is projected to pitch an average of 4.7 innings and allow 2.7 earned runs, which is not ideal. However, the Red Sox bullpen ranks as the 14th best in MLB, according to our Power Rankings, which could provide some support.

The Angels, on the other hand, will have right-handed pitcher Griffin Canning on the mound. While Canning has had a rough start to the season with an ERA of 8.38, his peripheral indicators suggest that he has been unlucky and may perform better going forward. He is projected to pitch an average of 5.4 innings and allow 3.2 earned runs. The Angels' bullpen, however, ranks as the 28th best in MLB, which could be a concern.

In terms of offense, the Red Sox rank as the 22nd best in MLB, while the Angels sit at 16th. Both teams have shown power, with the Red Sox ranking 18th in team home runs and the Angels ranking an impressive third. However, the Angels have struggled in the stolen bases department, ranking 27th, while the Red Sox sit in the middle of the pack at 16th.

The Red Sox's best hitter this season has been Tyler O'Neill, who has recorded 13 runs, 7 RBIs, and 6 home runs with a batting average of .279 and an OPS of 1.124. Meanwhile, the Angels' best hitter, Mike Trout, has notched 9 runs, 8 RBIs, and 6 home runs with a batting average of .306 and an OPS of 1.117.

According to THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, the Red Sox have a projected win probability of 53%, while the Angels have a 47% chance of winning. Both teams are expected to have high implied team totals of 4.75 runs each based on the current odds.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Bashing 5 homers over the last two weeks, Mike Trout has been on fire recently.

• Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Boston Red Sox:

Cooper Criswell has been given less leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 24 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

Angels vs Red Sox Prediction: Angels 5.37 - Red Sox 5.43

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