Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 6/14/2025

As the Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 14, 2025, both teams will look to improve their standings, especially after contrasting results in their previous matchup, which saw the Orioles secure a 2-0 victory. The Orioles currently sit at 28-40, struggling this season, while the Angels hold a slightly better record at 33-35. This matchup marks the second game of the series between the two clubs.

Projected starting pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano aims to build on his last outing, which was uneventful, yielding three earned runs over four innings. Despite being ranked as the 247th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics, Sugano has a respectable 3.23 ERA and a solid Win/Loss record of 5-4 this season. However, his xFIP of 4.29 suggests he may be due for regression. The Orioles may rely on their #9 ranked bullpen, giving them a slight edge as they attempt to capitalize on the Angels’ #29 ranked bullpen.

Los Angeles will counter with Tyler Anderson, who also faces some challenges. Although his 3.99 ERA is decent, his xFIP of 5.05 raises concerns about his sustainability. With a Win/Loss record of 2-3, Anderson will need to improve his command, as he projects to allow 3.3 earned runs today, which is troubling.

Offensively, the Orioles rank 18th in MLB, while the Angels are 23rd—both teams struggling to find consistent scoring. Despite their records, Baltimore is favored, with a moneyline of -155, hinting at a possible rebound against an Angels team lacking the necessary offensive firepower. The Game Total is set at a high 9.0 runs, reflecting expectations for a competitive bout.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Tyler Anderson has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in this matchup.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Jo Adell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.9-mph average to last year's 94.1-mph EV.

• Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Logan O'Hoppe, Jo Adell, Christian Moore).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

In his last game started, Tomoyuki Sugano wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

• A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.

Typically, hitters like Coby Mayo who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tyler Anderson.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

The Baltimore Orioles bullpen ranks as the 9th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 5.25, Baltimore Orioles 5.58

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tyler Anderson - Angels
  • Tomoyuki Sugano - Orioles

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.