Los Angeles Angels vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/3/2025

As the Angels and Braves clash on Thursday, July 3, 2025, at Truist Park, both clubs look to win the rubber match after splitting the first two games of the series. The Braves will give the ball to Bryce Elder (2‑5, 5.82 ERA), who’s struggled to miss bats, while the Angels turn to Jose Soriano (5‑5, 3.99 ERA). Find out who I think will get the better of that pitching matchup in my Angels vs Braves prediction for Thursday.

Our Angels vs Braves Pick

• Pick: Angels moneyline (+128)
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Los Angeles Angels at Atlanta Braves
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 3, 2025, 7:15 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Jose Soriano (LAA) vs Bryce Elder (ATL)
• Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
• Broadcast: FDSSO / FDSW

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

• Jose Soriano owns a 3.99 ERA with 7.8 K/9, but his last outing saw him give up eight earned runs in four innings. He’s been steadier on the road, though his .268 opponent average suggests vulnerability that could come into play against the power bats of the Braves.
• Bryce Elder has a bloated 5.82 ERA, lacking swing‑and‑miss stuff and allowing hard contact too often. He has given up 14 home runs this year, which worries me heading into a game against Mike Trout and the Angels.

Recent Team Streaks

• The Angels are 6-4 in their last 10 games and are a game under the .500 mark after a slow start to the season.
• Atlanta is 4-6 in their last 10 and they are running out of time to get back into contention in the NL East.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• These teams split the first two games of their season series this week.
• Angels are 32-35 as underdogs this season.
• Braves are 35-32 as favorites.
• Braves have shown strong home numbers (24‑18 at Truist Park), Angels are slightly under .500 on the road (22‑23).

Angels vs Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: Angels 5 – Braves 4
Win Probability: Angels 52% – Braves 48%

Final Thoughts

The matchup leans toward Los Angeles based on the starting pitching disparity. Jose Soriano has had his ups and downs, but Bryce Elder’s inconsistency and lack of strikeouts create an edge for the Angels. If Soriano can give five solid innings, the Angels’ bullpen can take over from there. With current odds and Elder’s struggles, backing the Angels on the moneyline with a secondary lean to the under offers solid value.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.