Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals Pick & Prediction – 8/9/2024

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Details

• Date: August 9, 2024
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jose Soriano - Angels
  • Mitchell Parker - Nationals

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Betting Preview

As the Washington Nationals prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on August 9, 2024, both teams are looking to turn their seasons around. The Nationals sit at 52-64, while the Angels are close behind at 51-64, marking both teams as having disappointing campaigns thus far. The Nationals will be eager to bounce back after a tough outing against the San Francisco Giants, while the Angels are hoping to build on a recent strong performance against the New York Yankees.

On the mound, the Nationals are projected to start Mitchell Parker, who has struggled this season, ranking as the 200th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Parker’s ERA stands at 4.06, and he is expected to pitch around 5.0 innings, allowing an average of 2.7 earned runs. On the other hand, the Angels will counter with Jose Soriano, who has fared much better, boasting a solid ERA of 3.47 and ranking 62nd overall among MLB starters. Soriano is projected to pitch 5.7 innings and allow 2.4 earned runs.

Both offenses have been lackluster, with the Nationals ranked 22nd and the Angels ranked 25th in MLB. However, the Nationals do have a slight edge in stolen bases, ranking 3rd overall, which could play a crucial role in creating scoring opportunities. The projections suggest a close matchup, with the Nationals having an implied team total of 4.61 runs and the Angels at 4.39 runs, indicating that this game is expected to be competitive.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Jose Soriano's 97.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 99th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Zach Neto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitchell Parker to throw 83 pitches in today's game (4th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

• Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Extreme flyball bats like Ildemaro Vargas tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

The Washington Nationals projected lineup projects as the worst of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• Alex Call has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 5.03 vs Washington Nationals 4.14

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