Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers Prediction For 9/6/2024

• Date: September 6, 2024
• Venue: Globe Life Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Samuel Aldegheri - Angels
  • Gerson Garabito - Rangers

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Betting Preview

As the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels face off on September 6, 2024, both teams are struggling to find their footing as the season winds down. The Rangers hold a record of 68-73, while the Angels sit at 58-82, both well below expectations. The Rangers are projected to start Gerson Garabito, who has had a mixed year with an ERA of 2.55, though his underlying metrics suggest he may have been fortunate. On the other side, Samuel Aldegheri, a left-handed pitcher, has also struggled, with a 3.60 ERA but a concerning xFIP of 8.03, indicating potential future struggles.

In their previous matchup, the Rangers faced off against the Angels, with the Rangers winning by a score of 3-1. However, with the Rangers' offense ranking 23rd in the league, they are not firing on all cylinders. Conversely, the Angels' offense is not faring much better at 24th. Despite these struggles, the Angels boast a solid 7th ranking in stolen bases, showcasing some speed that could be beneficial in tight situations.

The leading MLB projection system, THE BAT X, gives the Rangers a slight edge with a projected win probability of 55%. This is an opportunity for the Rangers to capitalize on their home advantage at Globe Life Field, especially considering their bullpen ranks 11th in the league, compared to the Angels' 28th.

In terms of individual performances, Josh Jung has been the standout for the Rangers recently, hitting .417 over the last week. Meanwhile, Taylor Ward has been a bright spot for the Angels, contributing to their offense with a .333 batting average during the same span. With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs, expect an engaging matchup that could swing in favor of the Rangers, especially if Garabito can navigate through the Angels' lineup effectively.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

With 8 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Samuel Aldegheri will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Nolan Schanuel has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 81.9-mph over the past 14 days.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Niko Kavadas, Mickey Moniak, Logan O'Hoppe, Jo Adell).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal lower than his 23.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

• xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.

Texas Rangers hitters collectively place 23rd- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 7.4% Barrel%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Game Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 87 games (+7.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• Anthony Rendon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 4.58 vs Texas Rangers 4.81

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.