Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers Pick & Prediction – 8/29/2024

• Date: August 29, 2024
• Venue: Comerica Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jack Kochanowicz - Angels
  • Keider Montero - Tigers

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to face the Los Angeles Angels on August 29, 2024, tensions rise with both teams in need of a strong performance. The Tigers, sitting at 68-66, have found themselves in the mix but are not in contention for a playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Angels, with a disappointing 54-79 record, are looking to halt their struggles. In their last game, the Tigers got a 3-2 win over the Angels.

On the mound, the Tigers are projected to start Keider Montero, who has had a challenging season with a Win/Loss record of 4-5 and an ERA of 5.15. His peripherals suggest he has been unfortunate, with a 4.31 xFIP indicating potential for improvement. However, Montero's projections show he may only pitch around 4.9 innings, allowing 2.7 earned runs while striking out just 4.3 batters on average. Conversely, Jack Kochanowicz takes the hill for the Angels. He has struggled as well, with a 1-3 record and a 6.08 ERA. The projections suggest Kochanowicz might deliver an average outing, pitching 5.1 innings and allowing 2.9 earned runs.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 23rd in MLB, while the Angels sit at 25th. Despite this, the projections indicate that the Tigers could score around 4.96 runs, bolstered by Zach McKinstry's recent form, where he has excelled over the past week. As betting favorites with a moneyline of -155, the Tigers are expected to perform better than their season statistics might suggest. With both teams struggling, this game could hinge on which struggling pitcher can rise to the occasion.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Niko Kavadas, Jo Adell, Mickey Moniak).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Detroit Tigers:

Detroit's 88.5-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the majors: #21 overall.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Game Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 4.93 vs Detroit Tigers 4.97

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