Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox Prediction For 9/24/2024

• Date: September 24, 2024
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jack Kochanowicz - Angels
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox

Betting Odds

Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

As the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Angels prepare to face off at Guaranteed Rate Field on September 24, 2024, both teams find themselves languishing at the bottom of the American League standings. The White Sox, with a dismal record of 36-120, have endured a season to forget. Meanwhile, the Angels, not much better at 63-93, also find themselves far from playoff contention. This matchup pits two struggling teams against each other, with both looking to salvage some pride in the final stretch of the season.

Chicago's Jonathan Cannon, ranked 265th among starting pitchers, takes the mound against the Angels' Jack Kochanowicz. Both right-handers have exhibited average ERAs this season, with Cannon at 4.61 and Kochanowicz at 4.56. However, Kochanowicz's peripheral stats suggest he might have been fortunate, as indicated by his 5.10 FIP. This could spell trouble for the Angels, especially against a White Sox lineup that has struggled for power, ranking last in MLB with just 127 home runs.

Offensively, both teams have had their woes, with the White Sox ranked 30th in overall offense and the Angels at 26th. Chicago's recent standout, Korey Lee, has been one of the few bright spots, hitting .273 over his last four games. The Angels' Jack Lopez, on the other hand, has been on a tear, batting .500 over the past week.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Angels a slight edge with a 52% win probability and projects them to score 4.68 runs. However, the betting markets reflect a close contest, with the Angels' moneyline set at -120, implying a 52% win probability. As both teams look to finish their seasons on a high note, this game could be tighter than it appears on paper.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Jack Kochanowicz's 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all SPs.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) provides evidence that Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year with his .167 actual batting average.

• xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player's batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.

The Los Angeles Angels bullpen projects as the worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Jonathan Cannon will average a total of 2.73 earned runs today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)

Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 4.84 vs Chicago White Sox 4.35

Get daily MLB picks here.