Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 8/22/2025
The Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals will meet tonight in Detroit for an exciting American League Central matchup. The Tigers take the field as the favorite as they look to extend their lead over the second-place Royals in the AL Central standings. Before the first pitch of this division rivalry matchup, continue reading to get my Royals vs Tigers prediction.
Our Royals vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Tigers –1.5
- Confidence: 3.5/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Friday, August 22, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Royals – Ryan Bergert (1–1, 2.75 ERA)
- Tigers – Casey Mize (12–4, 3.63 ERA)
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Casey Mize has been a reliable workhorse for the Tigers this season and was an All-Star replacement. He has 12–4 record and he tends to perform well in home starts this year. Ryan Bergert is a promising young pitcher with a polished 2.75 ERA. But his inexperience may be a factor against a potent Tigers lineup.
Key Players
- Detroit’s offense has been the Riley Greene show this season. Greene leads the Tigers in home runs, RBI, and batting average. He will be a key factor in determining the outcome of this game.
- Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino have been the key players for the Royals offensively this year. Pasquantino leads the team in home runs and RBI and he will look to make his mark today as well.
Recent team streaks
Both of these teams have won four of their last five games. The Royals just took three out of four games from the Texas Rangers in their last series. Detroit most recently swept the Houston Astros over three games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Tigers lead the season series against the Royals by a margin of 5-2.
- The last two games between these teams ended with final scores of 1-0.
- Kansas City is 30-32 on the road for the season.
- Detroit has gone 42-24 at home for the year.
Royals vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Tigers 5 – Royals 3
Win Probability: Tigers 62%, Royals 38%
Final Thoughts
Detroit has a clear advantage in this game as far as I’m concerned. We should see some regression from Bergert in this game, who has been almost too good over a small sample size to believe he can keep things up the way he has. Expect the Tigers to jump on Bergert early and to protect their multi-run lead with Mize en route to a win both straight up and on the runline.
