Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – 7/6/2025
On Sunday, the Kansas City Royals will face the Arizona Diamondbacks to wrap up their three-game weekend series in Phoenix. Arizona claimed Game 2 of the series 7‑1 on Saturday behind Ryne Nelson’s dominant outing. With both teams winning a game against each other this weekend, Sunday’s rubber match will be an important one. Here, I make my Royals vs Diamondbacks prediction for that game.
Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date & Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025 – 4:10 PM ET
Starting Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (4‑8, 4.95 ERA) vs Anthony DeSclafani (0‑0, 4.82 ERA)
Stadium: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: DBACKS.TV and FDSKC
Key Storylines
Pitching form: Arizona starter Anthony DeSclafani makes his first start of the season after multiple bullpen appearances. He’ll need to shake off any remaining rust on Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Royals and will look to improve on his 4.95 ERA.
Bullpen usage: The D‑backs have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball this year. But they held strong against Kansas City on Saturday and will look for a repeat performance in this rubber match at home.
Recent team streaks: Arizona snapped a three-game skid with a statement win on Saturday. The Royals have won three of their last five games entering today.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Odds
Eugenio Suárez (ARI)
Over 1.5 Total Bases
+110
Michael Lorenzen (KC)
Over 3.5 Strikeouts
–160
Ketel Marte (ARI)
To Record an RBI
+145
Betting Trends & H2H
Kansas City has gone under the total in 60.7% of their games this season. Only the Texas Rangers have a higher percentage of unders.
Kansas City is 46-44 on the runline this year, Arizona is 42-47.
This is the only series these teams will play this year and it is tied 1-1 so far.
Royals vs Diamondbacks Model Projection
Score Projection: Royals 3 – Diamondbacks 5
Win Probability: Royals 45%, Diamondbacks 55%
Final Thoughts
Admittedly, I am concerned about the starting pitching situation for the Diamondbacks going into this game. If DeSclafani is rusty or just can’t pitch much in this game, that will mean a heavy burden on a bad Arizona bullpen. Still, I am going to take my chances with the Diamondbacks as a slight favorite here against a Royals team with a losing record on the road.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – 7/6/2025
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