Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – 7/6/2025

On Sunday, the Kansas City Royals will face the Arizona Diamondbacks to wrap up their three-game weekend series in Phoenix. Arizona claimed Game 2 of the series 7‑1 on Saturday behind Ryne Nelson’s dominant outing. With both teams winning a game against each other this weekend, Sunday’s rubber match will be an important one. Here, I make my Royals vs Diamondbacks prediction for that game.

Our Royals vs Diamondbacks Pick

• Pick: Diamondbacks moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
• Date & Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025 – 4:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Michael Lorenzen (4‑8, 4.95 ERA) vs Anthony DeSclafani (0‑0, 4.82 ERA)
• Stadium: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
• Broadcast: DBACKS.TV and FDSKC

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Arizona starter Anthony DeSclafani makes his first start of the season after multiple bullpen appearances. He’ll need to shake off any remaining rust on Sunday afternoon. Meanwhile, Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Royals and will look to improve on his 4.95 ERA.
• Bullpen usage: The D‑backs have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball this year. But they held strong against Kansas City on Saturday and will look for a repeat performance in this rubber match at home.
• Recent team streaks: Arizona snapped a three-game skid with a statement win on Saturday. The Royals have won three of their last five games entering today.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Kansas City has gone under the total in 60.7% of their games this season. Only the Texas Rangers have a higher percentage of unders.
• Kansas City is 46-44 on the runline this year, Arizona is 42-47.
• This is the only series these teams will play this year and it is tied 1-1 so far.

Royals vs Diamondbacks Model Projection

Score Projection: Royals 3 – Diamondbacks 5

Win Probability: Royals 45%, Diamondbacks 55%

Final Thoughts

Admittedly, I am concerned about the starting pitching situation for the Diamondbacks going into this game. If DeSclafani is rusty or just can’t pitch much in this game, that will mean a heavy burden on a bad Arizona bullpen. Still, I am going to take my chances with the Diamondbacks as a slight favorite here against a Royals team with a losing record on the road.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.