Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Pick – 8/9/2025
The New York Yankees and Houston Astros played an extra-inning thriller on Friday night. The Astros won that game and the Yankees will head into the second game of this three-game series trying to even things at a game apiece. They will need to generate offense against one of Houston’s top pitchers for that to happen. Here, you will find my full breakdown of this American League game, including my Astros vs Yankees prediction for Saturday.
Our Astros vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Astros moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 9, 2025, 2:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Astros: Framber Valdez (11-5, 2.83 ERA)
- Yankees: Luis Gil (0-1, 13.50 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Houston sends Framber Valdez to the mound for this game. Valdez has an 11-5 record with a 2.83 ERA. He’s coming off a rough start against Boston but has been strong overall and will look to help his team get another big win. New York will start this one with Luis Gil on the mound. Gil is making his second start of the season after struggling mightily in his first start of the year. This matchup should lead to a significant edge for Houston on the mound.
Key Players
- Houston: Jose Altuve hit an early home run and scored what became the game-winning run in the 10th inning on Friday night.
- New York: Jazz Chisholm and Cody Bellinger went a combined 0-8 at the plate on Friday and will need to contribute more in this game.
Recent team streaks
- The Astros have won three of their last four games going into this contest.
- New York has lost four of its last five games coming into Saturday’s matchup with the Astros.
Best Player Props
| Category | Player | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Home Runs | Aaron Judge | Over 0.5 |
| Strikeouts | Framber Valdez | Over 6.5 |
| Total Bases | Jose Altuve | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Astros lead the season series between these teams by a 1-0 margin.
- The Yankees are 0-2 in extra-inning games within their last five total games.
- Houston has scored five runs or more in three of their last four outings.
Astros vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Astros 5 – Yankees 2
Win Probability: Astros 60%, Yankees 40%
Final Thoughts
The Astros continued to dominate the Yankees on Friday night. Houston might have even more of a pitching advantage in this game than they did on Friday. Framber Valdez should outperform a pitcher in Luis Gil who is still working his way back into competitive baseball. My best bet for this game is for the Astros to get the win on the road to plant more seeds of doubt in the Yankees going forward.
