Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Pick – 8/8/2025
The Houston Astros and New York Yankees have been fixtures in the MLB postseason in recent years. They are both in contention to get back there and will look to help their chances against one another on Friday night. Before the first pitch of this opening game of their three-game series, continue reading to get my Astros vs Yankees prediction for Friday.
Our Astros vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Astros moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Friday, August 8, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Astros – Hunter Brown (9-5, 2.47 ERA)
- Yankees – Cam Schlittler (1-2, 4.58 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Hunter Brown has been a consistent force for Houston this year. He has a 2.47 ERA and a 9-5 record. Brown has allowed just one earned run in each of his last two starts. But the Astros have lost each of those games due to a lack of run support. Yankees rookie Cam Schlittler has struggled to keep runs off the board. He has a 4.58 ERA with a 1.68 WHIP and has allowed five home runs in 19.2 innings of work.
Key Players
- Astros: Jose Altuve has owned the Yankees in big games throughout his career. He leads the Astros in home runs and will be a key player in this contest.
- Yankees: The New York offense has been inconsistent since the All-Star break. Aaron Judge has returned from injury and is just 1-6 with a single in his first two games back.
Recent team streaks
- Houston is 2-3 in their last five games. They had a two-game winning streak snapped with their loss to the Miami Marlins on Wednesday.
- New York snapped a five-game losing streak when they won the final game of their series against the Texas Rangers on Wednesday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Jose Altuve | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Hunter Brown | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game of a six-game season series between the Yankees and Astros.
- Houston is 29-27 on the road for the year.
- The Yankees are 34-22 at Yankee Stadium in 2025.
- The Astros are just 37-36 against American League opponents.
- New York is 41-32 against American League foes.
Astros vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Astros 5 – Yankees 4
Win Probability: Astros 54%, Yankees 46%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees have been very good at home this season. But they have also been struggling of late. Aaron Judge isn’t quite back into the swing of things at the plate for New York. I don’t expect that to be resolved on Friday night against a very good Houston starter in Hunter Brown. I’ll take the Astros to win on the road on Friday and to continue the run of dominance over the Yankees in big spots.
