Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Pick – 8/10/2025
The Houston Astros head to Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees on Sunday afternoon in the final game of their three-game set. Both teams have grabbed a win against each other over the last couple of days and will play for a series win in this rubber match. Continue reading to get my Astros vs Yankees prediction for this huge American League matchup.
Our Astros vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: New York Yankees -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 10, 2025, 1:35 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Max Fried (12–4, 2.78 ERA) vs Jason Alexander (2–1, 5.97 ERA)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Max Fried gives New York a significant pitching edge in this game. He has a 2.78 ERA and a 12–4 record this season. His performance this afternoon could give the Yankees all of the advantage they need to lock up this series. Houston’s Jason Alexander carries a less intimidating 5.97 ERA on the season. That disparity suggests Fried could give the Yankees offense plenty of chances to take an early lead.
Key Players
- New York Yankees: Aaron Judge provides a presence in the lineup that the Yankees weren’t able to replicate while he was out due to injury.
- Houston Astros: Jose Altuve continues to anchor the offense and the return of Carlos Correa has also added a spark for Houston.
Recent team streaks
- The Yankees are 2-1 in their last three games and will look to get a second straight win here.
- The Astros have lost two of their last three games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Jazz Chisholm | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these teams is tied 1-1 going into Sunday.
- The over is 2-0 in the two matchups between these teams this year.
- The Astros are 24-16 in day games this year.
- The Yankees are 26-20 in day games.
Astros vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Yankees 5 – Astros 3
Win Probability: Yankees 60%, Astros 40%
Final Thoughts
The Yankees finally appear to have a clear advantage in a big game against the Houston Astros. Max Fried is much better than Jason Alexander on the mound and the Yankees’ starting pitching edge should help them to grab the lead. I think they will keep that lead and I will back the Yankees to cover the runline in this huge American League matchup.
