Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Pick – 8/20/2025
The Detroit Tigers have won the first two games of their series with the Houston Astros this week. Detroit will look to secure the sweep on Wednesday afternoon while the Astros aim to salvage a game on the road. Houston’s offense has gone ice cold of late and they will need to change that if they want to win here. Before the action begins in Detroit, read on to get my Astros vs Tigers prediction for this Wednesday matinee.
Our Astros vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Wednesday, August 20, 2025, 1:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Framber Valdez vs Charlie Morton
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
- The Astros enter this game looking to avoid being swept in Detroit. They have been shut out over the first two games of this series and have been outscored 11-0 in those games.
- The Tigers boast the best record in the American League and are red-hot coming into this series finale with the Astros.
- This contest carries playoff implications as both teams lead their respective divisions and are playing for potential postseason seeding.
Pitching Matchup
Houston sends out Framber Valdez for this game. Valdez has been excellent for Detroit with an 11-6 record and a 3.01 ERA. Detroit counters with Charlie Morton on the hill. Morton has struggled with an 8-10 record and a 5.20 ERA. Houston will hope they can break out of their recent slump against the struggling Morton here.
Key Players
The key player in this game will be whoever can find a way to get a timely hit. The only run of last night’s game between these teams came on a walk-off bases loaded walk in the bottom of the 10th inning. The hero in this game will be anyone who can drive in a run by making hard contact.
Recent Team Streaks
- Houston has lost three straight games and four of their last five.
- The Tigers have won two games in a row and four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Home Runs |
|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| José Altuve (HOU) | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| Framber Valdez | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Tigers hold a 3-2 lead in the season series against the Astros.
- The Tigers have outscored the Astros 11-0 over the first two games of this three-game series.
- This is the final game scheduled between these teams in the 2025 regular season.
Astros vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Astros 4 – Tigers 3
Win Probability: Houston 54%, Detroit 46%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to see another low-scoring game between these teams on Wednesday afternoon. The Astros are clearly struggling at the plate, to the point that I’m not sure facing Charlie Morton will be enough to get them back on track. I’ll play the under in this game as Valdez should pitch well while Houston continues to struggle to score runs.
