Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/3/2025

The Houston Astros (52‑34) head to Coors Field on Thursday, July 3, 2025, to face the struggling Colorado Rockies (19‑67). The Astros will start Brandon Walter (1‑1, 3.34 ERA) against the Rockies’ Kyle Freeland (1‑9, 5.56 ERA). Houston, riding a three‑game winning streak, including two nail‑biters over Colorado, aims to further assert its dominance, while the Rockies search for any spark in their dismal campaign. Continue reading to get my Astros vs Rockies prediction for Thursday afternoon.

Our Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Pick

  • Pick: Astros moneyline & Under 11
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
  • Date & Time: Thursday, July 3, 2025 – 3:10 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Brandon Walter (HOU) vs Kyle Freeland (COL)
  • Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, COLR, SCHN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Brandon Walter has quietly emerged as a quality rotation arm, delivering five starts with a 3.34 ERA, nine strikeouts per nine, and three quality starts. His last outing featured six innings and just one earned run. Freeland’s numbers reveal struggles, with an ERA of 5.56, WHIP of 1.60, and under one strikeout per inning. Facing disciplined Astros hitters, he’s likely to falter early again.

Bullpen usage

Houston’s bullpen has been cautiously rotated after solid starts, while Colorado often exhausts its bullpen early, especially when trailing. Given the likely early deficit, Colorado may overuse its pen, while Houston can navigate the late innings with more depth.

Recent team streaks

The Astros have won eight of their last nine, including the last two against Colorado. The Rockies have lost 10 of 12. Jose Altuve remains hot, as he surpassed Jeff Bagwell for second in Astros hits and had two RBIs in Wednesday’s win. Colorado’s Tyler Freeman’s 17‑game on‑base streak provides a glimmer of hope, but his teammates haven’t supported him much.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Jose Altuve (HOU)Total BasesOver 1.5 (-170)
Kyle Freeland (COL)StrikeoutsUnder 3.5 (-112)
Isaac Paredes (HOU)Home Run+340
  1. The Astros are 2-0 against the Rockies this season.
  2. Colorado is an MLB-worst 33-53 on the runline this season.

Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Model Projection

Score Projection: Astros 6 – Rockies 4

Win Probability: Astros 62%, Rockies 38%

Final Thoughts

Denver’s altitude often inflates scoring, yet this matchup heavily favors Houston. Walter should neutralize Colorado’s lineup, while Freeland’s lack of command is a huge concern for me. The bullpen depth gives Houston a late‑game edge, and momentum heavily leans their way. Bet the Astros ML and Under 11 in a Same Game Parlay for optimal value.

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Home MLB Picks Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/3/2025