Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/1/2025
The Houston Astros (50‑34) clash with the Colorado Rockies (19‑65) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at Coors Field. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Houston enters as clear favorites against the worst team in baseball, but there are no sure things in this sport. Continue reading to get my Astros vs Rockies prediction before their interleague matchup.
Our Astros vs Rockies Pick
Pick: Astros -1.5
Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
Matchup: Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:40 p.m. ET
Starting Pitchers: Colton Gordon (HOU, 3‑1, 3.98 ERA) vs Chase Dollander (COL, 2‑8, 6.06 ERA)
Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Broadcast: MLB.tv
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Astros
–163
–1.5 (–106)
O 11.5
Rockies
+133
+1.5 (–114)
U 11.5
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Colton Gordon has delivered consistency with a 3.98 ERA in eight starts, going 5+ innings in each of his last seven outings. His last appearance was a five‑scoreless‑inning gem against Philadelphia.
Chase Dollander has struggled with a 6.06 ERA and just one strikeout in his last outing. While he’s managed three quality starts, his standard outing lasts around 4.8 frames.
Bullpen usage
Gordon’s efficient outings suggest less bullpen usage, but the strong Astros relief corps, led by Josh Hade,r should lock things down late.
Rockies’ bullpen remains one of MLB’s weakest units, amplifying pressure if Dollander falters.
Recent team streaks
Astros have won four straight games against teams with losing records and are 6‑2 in their last eight as moneyline favorites.
Colorado has dropped nine of ten as home underdogs of +145 or longer and are 1‑4 in their past five games overall.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop
Over Odds
Notes
Jose Altuve
Total Bases 1.5+
–110
Altuve leads Astros with 13 HR, .260 average in June with clutch hits.
Cam Smith
Hits 1.5+
–105
Hit .303 in June, multi-hit game very possible vs Dollander.
Colton Gordon
Strikeouts 5.5+
+110
Struck out 18 in 21 June innings, has a favorable matchup.
Betting Trends & H2H
Houston has covered the run line in 9 of the last 10 head‑to‑head meetings.
Both teams have played under the total in nine of their last games at Coors Field, suggesting the total may go under.
Rockies are 1‑4 ATS in their last five games, Astros are 3‑7 ATS in their past 10.
Astros vs Rockies Model Projection
Score Projection: Astros 6 – Rockies 3
Win Probability: Astros 64%, Rockies 36%
Final Thoughts
All signs point to an Astros win. Colton Gordon’s reliable starts paired with a strong offense will exploit a struggling Rockies rotation and bullpen. With favorable moneyline and run line value, locking in Houston to win by at least two runs is my best play for this game.
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Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/1/2025
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