Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 7/1/2025

The Houston Astros (50‑34) clash with the Colorado Rockies (19‑65) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at Coors Field. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Houston enters as clear favorites against the worst team in baseball, but there are no sure things in this sport. Continue reading to get my Astros vs Rockies prediction before their interleague matchup.

Our Astros vs Rockies Pick

Pick: Astros -1.5

Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies
• Date & Time: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:40 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Colton Gordon (HOU, 3‑1, 3.98 ERA) vs Chase Dollander (COL, 2‑8, 6.06 ERA)
• Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
• Broadcast: MLB.tv

Key Storylines

Pitching form

• Colton Gordon has delivered consistency with a 3.98 ERA in eight starts, going 5+ innings in each of his last seven outings. His last appearance was a five‑scoreless‑inning gem against Philadelphia.
• Chase Dollander has struggled with a 6.06 ERA and just one strikeout in his last outing. While he’s managed three quality starts, his standard outing lasts around 4.8 frames.

Bullpen usage

• Gordon’s efficient outings suggest less bullpen usage, but the strong Astros relief corps, led by Josh Hade,r should lock things down late.
• Rockies’ bullpen remains one of MLB’s weakest units, amplifying pressure if Dollander falters.

Recent team streaks

• Astros have won four straight games against teams with losing records and are 6‑2 in their last eight as moneyline favorites.
• Colorado has dropped nine of ten as home underdogs of +145 or longer and are 1‑4 in their past five games overall.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Houston has covered the run line in 9 of the last 10 head‑to‑head meetings.
• Both teams have played under the total in nine of their last games at Coors Field, suggesting the total may go under.
• Rockies are 1‑4 ATS in their last five games, Astros are 3‑7 ATS in their past 10.

Astros vs Rockies Model Projection

Score Projection: Astros 6 – Rockies 3

Win Probability: Astros 64%, Rockies 36%

Final Thoughts

All signs point to an Astros win. Colton Gordon’s reliable starts paired with a strong offense will exploit a struggling Rockies rotation and bullpen. With favorable moneyline and run line value, locking in Houston to win by at least two runs is my best play for this game.