Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction – 7/21/2025
The Houston Astros continue their road trip at Chase Field on Monday night with a game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Houston arrives having struggled in recent games against division opponents. Arizona has been playing well and will look to keep doing so to help their Wild Card chances. Here, I break this game down from all angles and give you my Astros vs Diamondbacks prediction.
Our Astros vs Diamondbacks Pick
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Starting Pitchers: Colton Gordon (HOU) vs Zac Gallen (ARI)
Stadium: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Broadcast: AT&T SportsNet SW • AZFS
Key Storylines
Pitching Form: Colton Gordon has allowed five earned runs over 12 innings in his last two starts. He is 3-2 but has a 4.67 ERA on the year. Zac Gallen has been disappointing this year for the Diamondbacks. He is 7-10 with a 5.40 ERA and the Diamondbacks need something special from him in this spot.
Bullpen Usage: Houston has a big bullpen advantage going into this game. The Astros are in the top five in bullpen ERA for the season. Arizona is in the bottom five in that statistical category. Barring a major surprise, we should see Houston’s pitching be superior in the late innings.
Recent Team Streaks: The Astros have lost three of their last four games. All of those games were against division rivals in the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers. Arizona has won four games in a row entering this one.
Best Player Props
Player
Prop Type
Pick
Alex Bregman
Home Runs
Over 0.5
Zac Gallen
Strikeouts
Over 6.5
José Altuve
Total Bases
Over 1.5
Betting Trends & H2H
This game is the first meeting between these teams this season.
St. Louis and Arizona are only set to play three games during the 2025 regular season. All three of those games will take place this week.
The Diamondbacks are 26-25 at home this season. The Astros are 24-23 on the road.
Astros vs Diamondbacks Model Projection
Score Projection: Houston 4 – Arizona 5
Win Probability: Houston 45%, Arizona 55%
Final Thoughts
The Astros have a statistical edge with both their starting pitching and their bullpen going into this game. But Zac Gallen has a higher ceiling than any of the pitchers that we expect to see significant action in this game. I expect Gallen to pitch well and for the Astros to win the first game of this interleague series from Phoenix.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
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Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.
Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.
Home›MLB Picks›Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction – 7/21/2025
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